Trae Young Next Team Odds: Wizards Heavy Favorite to Trade for Trae Young After Preferred Destination Comments
The Atlanta Hawks have rapidly emerged as a potential seller as they consider moving superstar Trae Young in a blockbuster deal. Could the Hawks send Trae Young to the Washington Wizards before the trade deadline? Peter Alexis analyzes the latest Trae Young Next Team Odds as the NBA trade market heats up.
Peter Alexis - January 7, 2026, 4:25 PM EST
5 Minute ReadTrae Young Next Team Odds: Wizards Launch to 80% Favorite to Trade for Trae Young Amid Rumors
Trade momentum around Trae Young has reached a new level after his public comments made it clear he prefers the Washington Wizards if the Hawks decide to move him. That statement sent a shock through the Kalshi market and immediately reshaped the odds. Washington jumped from 45 percent to a staggering 80 percent as bettors reacted to the strongest signal yet that Young is ready for a fresh start. With Atlanta continuing to slide and internal discussions intensifying, the expectation around the league is that a trade is no longer a question of if but when.
The Hawks option has collapsed in response. What had been a realistic possibility only days ago has now cratered to 2 percent as the team appears increasingly ready to pivot toward a new direction. Young’s injuries, the team’s struggles, and his contract timeline have all pushed Atlanta toward the conclusion that this is the moment to maximize his value. The front office is now weighing packages and timing rather than debating whether to keep him.
Beyond Washington, several teams remain on the board at low probabilities. The Kings, Mavericks, Bucks, and Timberwolves are all viewed as long shot destinations that could enter the mix if negotiations stall or if Atlanta prefers a different combination of assets. But the market is clear. If the Kalshi numbers are any indication, Young is overwhelmingly likely to be wearing a different jersey soon and Washington has separated itself from the pack.
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Trae Young Next Team Odds
Team | Implied Probability |
|---|---|
Washington Wizards | 80% |
Dallas Mavericks | 9% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 8% |
Stay With Atlanta Hawks | 2% |
Trae Young Next Team Odds Breakdown
Washington Wizards: 80%
The Wizards have become the runaway favorite after Young publicly named them as his preferred landing spot. That kind of clarity is rare in midseason trade discussions and it immediately shifted the market. Washington can offer minutes, usage, and a long term role as the centerpiece of their rebuild which aligns with what Young wants. The rumored framework involving CJ McCollum and additional assets remains in play and the Wizards have both the motivation and the flexibility to get a deal done. With Young’s preference now public, Washington holds a massive advantage over the rest of the field.
Stay with Hawks: 2%
The Hawks option has collapsed as trade talks have intensified. Atlanta appears ready to move on and Young’s stated preference for Washington only accelerates the process. The team is struggling, the roster construction has stalled, and Young’s contract timeline makes it risky to wait. A return to Atlanta now looks unlikely unless negotiations completely fall apart. The market reflects that reality with the stay option dropping from double digits to a near non factor.
Mavericks: 8% Chance
Dallas has been linked to star guards for years, and the idea of pairing Young with Cooper Flagg has obvious offensive appeal. The Mavericks would need to construct a complex package of picks and rotation players to make the salaries work including Anthony Davis, but the organization has shown a willingness to be aggressive. Young’s shooting and pick and roll creation would give Dallas another high level initiator, although the defensive concerns would be significant. Still, the Mavericks remain a credible dark horse due to their history of star hunting.
Bucks: 6% Chance
Milwaukee is an intriguing long shot. The Bucks are always exploring ways to extend their championship window around Giannis Antetokounmpo, and adding another elite creator would certainly do that. The challenge is matching salaries and assets, since Milwaukee has limited draft capital and few movable contracts. A deal would likely require a multi team structure. Even so, the Bucks appear on the board because their front office consistently checks in on high level talent, and Young’s scoring punch would give them a different offensive dimension.
NBA ODDS
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