Ja Morant Next Team Odds: Kings Favorite to Trade for Morant If Memphis Chooses To Deal
The Memphis Grizzlies have quietly generated buzz as a potential seller as they consider moving superstar Ja Morant in a blockbuster deal. Could the Grizzlies send Ja Morant to the Sacramento Kings before the trade deadline? Jack Borovitz analyzes the latest Ja Morant Next Team Odds as the NBA trade market heats up.
Jack Borovitz - January 10, 2026, 1:30 PM EST
5 Minute ReadJa Morant Next Team Odds: Miami Crashes as Sacramento and Minnesota Surge in Trade Market Shakeup
The Ja Morant trade speculation has taken a dramatic turn over the past 24 hours. What looked like a Miami Heat runaway just yesterday has completely flipped, with the Kings and Timberwolves now emerging as the primary contenders if Memphis decides to move its superstar point guard. Miami has cratered 80 points to just 19 percent while Sacramento and Minnesota have both launched into the race, climbing to 26 percent and 23 percent respectively.
The shift reflects new reporting around Memphis front office discussions and legitimate interest from Western Conference contenders looking to pair Morant with their existing cores. Sacramento sees him as the playmaker to unlock their playoff ceiling alongside Domantas Sabonis. Minnesota views him as the dynamic scoring punch to complement Anthony Edwards and help them make a deep postseason run. Meanwhile, Miami's collapse suggests the Heat either cooled on the idea or that Memphis prefers the package Western teams can offer.
The Memphis option remains alive at 42 percent, though it has dropped five points as trade chatter intensifies. The Grizzlies have maintained publicly that Morant is their franchise player, but his injury history and contract situation have created enough uncertainty for bettors to push nearly $11,000 through the Kalshi market. If Memphis decides this is the moment to maximize his value before another injury setback, the Kings and Timberwolves appear positioned to make aggressive offers.
Beyond the leaders, Milwaukee sits at 5 percent as a longshot while Brooklyn and Philadelphia remain on the board at minimal odds. But the market has spoken. Sacramento and Minnesota have separated from the field, and Miami's stunning fall means the next chapter, if it's with another team, of Morant's career is far more likely to be written in the Western Conference.
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Ja Morant Next Team Odds
Team | Implied Probability |
|---|---|
Stays With Memphis Or Retires | 42% |
Sacramento Kings | 26% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 23% |
Miami Heat | 19% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 5% |
Ja Morant Next Team Odds Breakdown
Sacramento Kings: 26%
The Kings have emerged as a legitimate contender after surging 24 points in the market. Sacramento has the pieces to construct a competitive package including young talent like Keegan Murray, future draft capital, and expiring contracts to make the salaries work. Pairing Morant with Sabonis would give the Kings an elite pick and roll combination and solve their halfcourt creation problems that have held them back in recent playoff pushes. The front office has shown willingness to be aggressive in pursuit of star talent, and Morant's explosive scoring would immediately elevate their ceiling. If Memphis prioritizes youth and picks over win now pieces, Sacramento offers an appealing path.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 23%
Minnesota has climbed 18 points to become the other major contender. The Timberwolves can offer a package built around young rotation players and draft compensation, though matching Morant's salary creates complications. The appeal is obvious. Adding Morant alongside Edwards creates one of the most dynamic backcourts in basketball and gives Minnesota another elite scorer to take pressure off their franchise player. The fit raises defensive questions given Morant's inconsistency on that end, but the offensive firepower would be undeniable. Minnesota has been aggressive in pursuing upgrades, and if they believe Morant is the piece that puts them over the top in the West, they have the assets to make a serious run.
Stays with Memphis or Retires: 42%
The Grizzlies keeping Morant remains the favorite scenario, though that probability has dropped as trade discussions gain traction. Memphis has built around him as their cornerstone, and the organization remains publicly committed to that vision. The issue is his injury timeline. Morant has missed significant time over the past two seasons, and the Grizzlies face a decision about whether to continue building around someone whose availability has become uncertain. The market suggests Memphis is at least listening to offers, even if they remain reluctant to pull the trigger. At 42 percent, staying put is still the most likely outcome, but it is no longer the overwhelming favorite it was just days ago.
Miami Heat: 19%
The Heat have experienced a stunning collapse, dropping 80 points to fall completely out of contention. Miami was the runaway favorite yesterday, but something has shifted dramatically. Whether the Heat cooled on the idea internally or Memphis prefers the packages from Western teams, the market no longer sees South Beach as a realistic destination. Miami would still make sense in theory given their star hunting history and ability to construct competitive offers around draft capital and young players like Tyler Herro, but the betting public has moved on. At 19 percent, the Heat are now a distant fourth in a race they appeared to be winning.
Milwaukee Bucks: 5%
Milwaukee appears as a longshot at 5 percent. The Bucks are always exploring ways to maximize their championship window around Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Morant would certainly give them another elite playmaker. The challenge is salary matching and asset availability. Milwaukee has limited draft capital after previous trades and few movable contracts that would interest Memphis. A deal would likely require a multi team structure and creative maneuvering. Even so, the Bucks stay on the board because their front office consistently checks in on star level talent when it becomes available.
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