NBA Draft First Pick Odds: Wizards Heavily Favored to Draft AJ Dybantsa After Winning Draft Lottery
The 2026 NBA Draft Lottery was won by the Washington Wizards on Sunday afternoon, and now they are in the drivers seat to select the freshman phenom of their choice. That's looking like BYU's AJ Dybantsa if the latest NBA Draft odds are to be believed, after overtaking Darryn Peterson of Kansas in the back half of the season. Let's take a look at the NBA Draft First Pick odds as of Sunday, May 10th.
Peter Alexis - May 10, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT
5 Minute ReadWill Washington Wizards Take AJ Dybantsa Over Darryn Peterson With First Overall Pick After Winning Sunday's Draft Lottery?
The Washington Wizards won the NBA Draft Lottery and now control the No. 1 pick for the first time since 2010, when they selected John Wall. The 2026 NBA Draft is set for Tuesday, June 23, putting Washington about six weeks away from a franchise-shaping decision at the top of a loaded freshman class. The top five is set with Washington at No. 1, Utah at No. 2, Memphis at No. 3, Chicago at No. 4, and the Clippers holding the No. 5 pick via trade.
AJ Dybantsa is now the clear betting favorite at -425 to go first overall, while Darryn Peterson has slipped to +380 after spending much of the season as the market’s top name. Cameron Boozer is a distant third at +1800, Caleb Wilson follows at +2800, and Darius Acuff Jr. is the longshot riser at +12000 after a rapid freshman breakout at Arkansas.
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NBA First Draft Pick Odds
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NBA First Draft Pick Odds Breakdown
AJ Dybantsa, BYU (-400) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Dybantsa is the heavy favorite because his scoring profile fits exactly what Washington needs at the top of the draft. The BYU freshman averaged 25.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 3.7 assists while shooting 51% from the field and 33.1% from three, giving him the cleanest No. 1 case as a pure offensive centerpiece. The Wizards finished 17-65, won the lottery with a 14% chance, and now have a chance to add a wing scorer with star-level creation upside. Dybantsa’s price at -425 is steep, but the market is clearly treating him as the new default pick after a full season of elite freshman production.
Darryn Peterson, Kansas (+370) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Peterson had been the favorite for much of the season, but the injury and cramp concerns have changed how the market prices him. The Kansas freshman still averaged 20.2 points, 4.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 1.4 steals, but he missed 11 of Kansas’ 35 games and had several moments where his availability became the story. Peterson later said high doses of creatine contributed to severe cramping issues, and that uncertainty likely hurt his No. 1 pick momentum. He remains firmly in the top-pick conversation because of his shot creation, scoring polish, and lead-guard upside, but Dybantsa now has the cleaner résumé and healthier market profile.
Cameron Boozer, Duke (+1800) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Boozer is the most accomplished all-around player among the longer shots, but the No. 1 market is not treating him as likely to jump both Dybantsa and Peterson. His appeal is built around polish, strength, rebounding, passing feel, and a winning profile from Duke, where he entered college with major expectations and delivered as one of the country’s most productive freshmen. Memphis at No. 3 is a natural landing range if the board plays out as expected, and that may be why his odds are sitting at +1800 rather than closer to the top two. Boozer looks more like a high-floor top-three candidate than the current favorite to go first.
Caleb Wilson, North Carolina (+2800) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Wilson is the defensive-upside name in this top group, and his length, mobility, and two-way projection make him a strong fit near the top of the lottery. The market has him behind Dybantsa, Peterson, and Boozer because the No. 1 conversation is still being driven by elite self-creation and primary offensive upside. Wilson’s case is different. He can rise if teams value defensive versatility, transition finishing, and long-term physical tools over immediate scoring dominance. With Chicago holding the fourth pick, Wilson is already being discussed in the range where his athletic profile and defensive ceiling become very appealing.
Darius Acuff Jr., Arkansas (+12000) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Acuff is the most interesting riser on the board because his season changed the way evaluators viewed his ceiling. The Arkansas freshman averaged 23.5 points, 6.4 assists, and 3.1 rebounds while shooting 48.4% from the field, giving him one of the strongest guard production profiles in the class. He began the year outside the tightest No. 1 conversation but climbed rapidly as his scoring, playmaking, and control of Arkansas’ offense became impossible to ignore. At +12000, he is still a major longshot to go first overall, but he has played his way into the potential top-five mix and may be the name with the widest gap between preseason expectation and current draft momentum.
NBA No. 1 Pick Betting Outlook
Dybantsa is the clear prediction at this stage. Washington needs a franchise scorer, and his BYU season gave him the strongest combination of production, positional value, and star upside. Peterson is still dangerous if teams fully buy the medical explanation and believe his Kansas season was held back by temporary health issues rather than durability concerns, but the market has already shifted. Boozer, Wilson, and Acuff all have top-five cases, yet each would need a major pre-draft surge to threaten Dybantsa for No. 1.
NBA ODDS
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