
Paraguay vs Australia Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest World Cup Odds for Thursday, June 25th
Paraguay and Australia prepare for a crucial final group-stage showdown in the FIFA World Cup on Thursday, June 26th. Check out this Paraguay vs. Australia prediction and best bet for Thursday night in Group D.
OC Staff - June 25, 2026, 6:30 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadParaguay vs Australia Prediction: Who Will Come Out on Top as Two Sides Jockey for Knockout Seeding
Paraguay and Australia prepare for a crucial final group-stage showdown in the FIFA World Cup on June 25th at 10 PM ET in the late game. Sitting third and second in the tournament standings respectively, just a single point separates these two sides from securing progression, setting the stage for a tense and highly anticipated encounter.
Paraguay vs Australia Recent Results
The hosts enter this fixture on the back of a heroic 1-0 victory over Turkiye, defending their slender lead for 88 minutes despite playing the entire second half with ten men. Over their last six matches, the South Americans have shown mixed but resilient form, securing four victories—including friendly wins over Nicaragua, Greece, and Mexico—alongside defeats to Morocco and a heavy 4-1 loss against the USA in their World Cup opener.
Meanwhile, the visitors will look to bounce back from a disappointing 2-0 defeat against tournament hosts USA in Seattle. Prior to that setback, the Socceroos had enjoyed a solid run of form, including a crucial 2-0 victory over Turkiye in their group opener, a 1-1 draw with Switzerland, and friendly wins against Curacao and Cameroon, with their only other recent defeat coming in a narrow 1-0 loss to Mexico.
Paraguay vs Australia Head to Head
Historically, meetings between these two nations have been rare. In their most recent clash during the 2021 Copa America, the sides played out a 0-0 draw. Across their three historical matchups, Australia hold a slight upper hand with one victory—a 1-0 friendly win back in 2010—alongside two draws, leaving Paraguay still searching for their first-ever win against the visitors.
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Paraguay vs Australia Odds
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Paraguay vs Australia Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, June 25th, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
- How to Watch: FS1, Universo, FOX One
Paraguay vs Australia Betting Trends
Here are the latest betting trends for this Paraguay vs. Australia match, as you try to find your favorite betting angle for the game. Powered by Oddschecker+ Trends Tool to bring you the best AI advantage for the World Cup.
Paraguay vs Australia Probable Lineups
Paraguay (4-4-2): Gill; Alonso, Alderete, Gómez, Cáceres; Galarza, Cubas, Gómez, Mauricio; Pitta, Enciso
Australia (5-4-1): Beach; Bos, Souttar, Circati, Burgess, Italiano; Velupillay, Okon-Engstler, O'Neill, Irankunda; Touré
Paraguay vs Australia Team News
The home side must cope without Miguel Almirón, who is suspended after receiving a red card against Turkiye. However, Diego Gomez and Matias Galarza should both shake off minor knocks to start, with Mauricio expected to replace Almirón in midfield. For the visitors, veteran Mathew Leckie is highly doubtful after picking up a knock against the USA. Nestory Irankunda is tipped to deploy on the right wing in his place, while Mo Toure continues as the lone striker.
Paraguay vs Australia Match Facts
Prediction: Paraguay 1-1 Australia
A cagey affair is anticipated, with both teams likely prioritizing defensive solidity over offensive risk. Paraguay's average possession of 28.42% and pass accuracy of 66% suggest they are comfortable playing without the ball, which served them well in their gritty win against Turkiye. The visitors average 33.26% possession but are stronger in the air, winning an average of 21 aerial duels per game compared to the hosts' 18. With Gustavo Alfaro's side knowing a draw guarantees their knockout spot, and Tony Popovic's men also advancing with a point, a 1-1 stalemate is the predicted outcome.
Best Bet: Match Result - Draw (+127) Check out the best odds on Caesars Sportsbook
With both sides needing only a single point to guarantee qualification to the next round, neither manager will want to risk committing too many bodies forward. Backing the draw is the outstanding selection here, as both teams are expected to prioritize defensive stability and structure over attacking flair.
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