Turkey vs. USA Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest World Cup Odds for Thursday, June 25th
Turkiye and the USA prepare to face off in their final Group D fixture of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Read our match preview, lineups, team news, and Turkey vs. USA prediction and best bet for Thursday, June 25th Group D finale.
OC Staff - June 25, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadTurkey vs USA Prediction: Can Balogun, USMNT Continue World Cup Dominance in Thursday's Group D Finale?
Turkey and the USA prepare to face off in their final Group D fixture of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with both nations experiencing contrasting fortunes. Scheduled for 10 PM ET on Thursday, June 25th, this clash sees the bottom-placed hosts playing purely for pride, while the table-topping visitors aim to maintain their perfect record in this World Cup group stage.
Turkey vs USA Recent Results
The hosts enter this match in disappointing form, sitting rock bottom of the group after a frustrating 1-0 defeat to Paraguay. Despite dominating large periods, they have now lost both of their opening group matches without scoring. This represents a sharp downturn for the home side, who had previously enjoyed strong pre-tournament form, including a 4-0 friendly win over North Macedonia.
Conversely, the visitors have enjoyed a flawless start, securing their place at the summit of Group D with a comfortable 2-0 win over Australia. This followed a commanding 4-1 victory against Paraguay, showing their immense goalscoring threat. While their friendly form leading into the tournament was mixed, the away side has found their rhythm when it matters most.
Turkey vs USA Head to Head
The last meeting between these two sides in June 2025 ended in a 2-1 friendly victory for the visitors. Historically, the away side has dominated this fixture, winning three of their previous four encounters by that exact 2-1 scoreline, with the hosts' only victory coming back in the 2003 Confederations Cup.
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Turkey vs. USA Odds
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Turkey vs. USA Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, June 25th, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
- How to Watch: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
Turkey vs. USA Betting Trends
Here are the latest betting trends for this Turkey vs. USA match, as you try to find your favorite betting angle for the game. Powered by Oddschecker+ Trends Tool to bring you the best AI advantage for the World Cup.
Turkey vs USA Probable Lineups
Turkiye (4-2-3-1): Cakir; Kadioglu, Bardakci, Demiral, Müldür; Yüksek, Çalhanoglu; Yildiz, Güler, Akgün; Aktürkoglu
USA (3-5-2): Freese; Ream, Richards, Freeman; Robinson, Tillman, Adams, McKennie, Dest; Pepi, Balogun
The tactical battle will be won and lost in how the home side handles possession. The hosts average an impressive 75.06% possession and 31 shots per game, but their pass accuracy of 89.57% has lacked a clinical edge. The visitors, boasting a superior average rating of 6.95, will look to disrupt this with their midfield engine and strike quickly on the counter.
Turkey vs USA Team News
The hosts have a clean bill of health, and manager Vincenzo Montella could stick with the same starting XI, with Yildiz overcoming a calf strain to start. For the visitors, Roldan is a doubt, while Pulisic may be rested on the bench. Crucially, Adams, Balogun, Richards, and Robinson are all one booking away from suspension, which may force some squad rotation.
Turkey vs USA Match Facts
- Turkiye have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 4 matches against USA in all competitions.
Prediction: Turkey 1-2 USA
With the hosts already mathematically eliminated, motivation may be an issue. Despite taking 32 shots in their 1-0 loss to Paraguay, their lack of clinical finishing has been their downfall. The visitors possess superior squad depth and a higher average rating of 6.95. Even if they rotate to protect players on yellow cards, their clinical edge should see them secure a narrow victory.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-145) Check out the best odds on BetMGM Sportsbook
With over 2.5 goals landing in all four historical meetings between these sides, backing a high-scoring affair is the smartest play here, especially with the hosts desperate to finally find the net.
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