NCAA Tournament Bracketology: Latest Odds to Make March Madness Field Ahead of Super Tuesday Games
With just two weeks left in the regular season, every game counts for these bubble teams to build their resume. Will teams like Missouri, Auburn, and Ohio State make the field? Let's take a look at how each team's chances changed over the weekend in the latest NCAA Tournament Bracketology ahead of the Tuesday, February 24th games.
Peter Alexis - February 24, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
4 Minute ReadNCAA Tournament Bracketology Odds: Will Missouri, Auburn, or Ohio State Make March Madness?
With Selection Sunday drawing closer, the bubble picture continues to shift almost nightly. Saturday delivered several résumé defining games, and the betting markets wasted no time reacting. Some teams strengthened their position with clutch wins, others took damaging losses that dramatically altered their outlook.
The latest odds reflect just how volatile this year’s field is. Auburn surged back into safer territory, TCU flipped from underdog to favorite, and USC’s hopes took a significant hit. With only a handful of regular season games remaining, every matchup now carries tournament level stakes.
Looking for advanced AI predictions and props to enhance your CBB betting? Try out oddschecker+ now on this limited time 7-day free trial!
Odds to Make NCAA Tournament
Team | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Auburn | -250 | 71.4% |
Santa Clara | -220 | 68.8% |
Missouri | -200 | 66.7% |
TCU | -175 | 63.6% |
Ohio State | +100 | 50% |
Cal | +210 | 32.3% |
USC | +250 | 28.6% |
NCAA Tournament Bracketology Odds Breakdown
Auburn (-250) Click here to see these March Madness Bubble odds on FanDuel Sportsbook
Auburn made the loudest statement of the weekend. After sitting at -130, the Tigers jumped to -250 following a dramatic comeback win over Kentucky on Saturday night, erasing a late deficit in the final seconds. That type of clutch performance carries serious weight with both the committee and the market.
They now head to Oklahoma as -2.5 road favorites in a game they simply have to win. If Auburn takes care of business tonight, their No. 1 strength of schedule becomes a powerful argument on Selection Sunday despite a mediocre overall record. With Ole Miss and LSU still on the schedule, this team is positioned to finish strong and feel much more comfortable heading into the SEC Tournament.
Santa Clara (-220) Click here to see these March Madness Bubble odds on FanDuel Sportsbook
Santa Clara climbed from -150 to -220 after a dominant road win over San Francisco. The Broncos have quietly built momentum at the right time and now sit in favorable territory to make the field.
Their next test is Wednesday night at Saint Mary’s, where they will likely be +5.5 underdogs. A road win there would essentially lock them in. Even a competitive loss combined with solid WCC Tournament results should be enough. The only scenario that truly hurts them now is a blowout defeat followed by an early conference tournament exit.
Missouri (-200) Click here to see these March Madness Bubble odds on FanDuel Sportsbook
Missouri’s odds remained relatively stable after losing on the road to Arkansas, a result that was already priced in. The Tigers now host Tennessee as +3.5 underdogs tonight in what may be their defining opportunity.
If Mizzou can pull off the upset against a surging Vols team that just beat Vanderbilt on the road, they would essentially lock themselves into the tournament. A loss does not eliminate them, but it likely pushes their odds closer to even and shifts significant pressure onto their remaining games against Mississippi State and Oklahoma. This is the swing spot.
TCU (-175) Click here to see these March Madness Bubble odds on FanDuel Sportsbook
TCU made one of the biggest jumps on the board, flipping from +135 to -175 after a quality win over West Virginia. The Horned Frogs now control their path.
They host Arizona State tonight as -6.5 favorites and close the season with Kansas State. If they avoid stumbles in this manageable stretch, they should secure their place in the field. The market now believes they are in strong position, but a late collapse would quickly undo that progress.
Ohio State (+100) Click here to see these March Madness Bubble odds on FanDuel Sportsbook
Ohio State slipped from -150 to +100 after a close loss to Michigan State on Sunday. Competitive efforts are not enough at this stage. The Buckeyes need statement wins.
The schedule provides chances. They travel to Iowa as +3.5 underdogs tomorrow night, then host No. 8 Purdue and Indiana to close the regular season. Add in potential Big Ten Tournament opportunities, and there is still a path. But if they drop three of the final four, their tournament hopes likely disappear. They are now firmly on the knife’s edge.
USC (+250) Click here to see these March Madness Bubble odds on FanDuel Sportsbook
USC took the most damaging blow of the weekend. The Trojans fell from +150 to +250 after losing to Oregon by one point at home, a game they simply could not afford to drop against a clear non tournament team.
Now they face rival UCLA tonight as +6.5 underdogs. At this stage, USC likely needs to be nearly perfect the rest of the way. A win over UCLA would revive hope immediately. A loss would leave almost no margin for error. The market has clearly lost confidence, and the Trojans must earn it back fast.
More College Basketball Odds
Affiliate Disclosure.
We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.
