INSIGHT

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Folarin Balogun’s status for USA vs. Belgium has become one of the most dramatic Kalshi markets of the World Cup knockout rounds. After his red-card suspension was unexpectedly lifted Sunday, the market swung from almost no chance of him starting to near certainty, though Belgium’s late appeal keeps one final twist on the board.

Rafael Leão’s next club odds are heating up as Portugal prepares for a World Cup knockout match against Spain. Tottenham is now the market favorite, but Saudi interest, AC Milan’s stance and Manchester United’s outside pursuit keep this transfer market wide open.

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Joey Chestnut is once again a massive favorite to win the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest after reclaiming the Mustard Belt last year. With Chestnut sitting at -2000 and his total set around 70.5 hot dogs, the biggest betting question is not just whether he wins, but which version of the competitive eating legend shows up at Coney Island.

The women’s Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest returns to Coney Island on July 4, with Miki Sudo chasing another Pink Belt in extreme summer heat. With temperatures expected to climb above 93 degrees and the heat index potentially making conditions feel far worse, this year’s contest could test stamina as much as speed.

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