Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley Odds: 60% Of Bets On Woodley To Beat Paul

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds always had Paul as the favorite, and Paul vs. Woodley betting data has show he's more popular. But, in the recent days, Tyron Woodley has become the choice of the betting public.
Brian Good
Sun, August 29, 4:10 AM EDT

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley Odds: 60% Of Bets On Woodley To Beat Paul

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds have always favored the YouTuber, Paul. Jake Paul is bigger and he has the only boxing experience of the duo. So, while on the surface it may not make much sense as Woodley is a former UFC champ, there is merit to it.

Another trend that has been going strong since Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds were announced is the fact that Paul, the uber-popular social media star, is the more popular fighter when it comes to betting data for the fight.

Not only did Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds favor Paul, but the betting public was heavily on his side, expecting him to dominate Woodley.

But, that has now changed.

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds are still heavily in Paul's favor, but since this weekend started, the majority of Paul vs. Woodley bets have actually backed Woodley to win, a sharp change in the course compared to what we saw in the months leading up to the fight.

What does this mean for Sunday's fight? Let's break down Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds.

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Jake Paul Odds

Before we get into the latest Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley betting data, let's first take a look at Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds and how they've progressed in the lead-up to the fight.

Jake Paul's odds to beat Tyron Woodley have always been short, but they've been getting slashed even more as we approach the opening bell on Sunday.

When Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds opened, Jake Paul was a -139 favorite, odds that gave him an implied probability of winning of 58.2%. Those odds were in his favor, but seemed to indicate the fight would be rather close.

However, as we approach the start of Sunday's fight, Paul's odds to win have shrunk, improving his implied probability to upwards of 60%.

As of Sunday morning, the latest Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds have Jake Paul at -185, taking that previous 58.2% implied probability and moving it up to 64.9%

Fighter Odds at Open Implied Probability at Open Current Odds Current Implied Probability
Jake Paul -139 58.2% -185 64.9%

Click here for the latest Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds

Tyron Woodley Odds

So, if you've read about the direction in which Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds are going for Paul, you can probably guess where they've gone for Woodley.

Tyron Woodley, despite being the former UFC champion of the world and considered one of the best pound-for-pound MMA fighters in the company, is a pretty sizeable underdog when it comes to Sunday's Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds.

When Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds opened, Woodley sat at +100, Those odds made him the underdog, but they also implied a 50% chance that he could beat Paul. Now, his chances are much slimmer just a few hours from fight time.

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds now have Woodley's odds to win, once at +100, all the way up to +170. What was once a 50% implied probability is now down to a flat 37%.

I'm not entirely sure what Woodley did to lose the faith of the oddsmakers, but Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds have made it clear he's the underdog.

Fighter Odds at Open Implied Probability at Open Current Odds Current Implied Probability
Tyron Woodley +100 50% +170 37%

Click here for the latest Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley Odds

So, if you made early bets on Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds you either made a great play on closing line value or you completely struck out, depending on which fighter you backed.

If you made an early fight on Jake Paul, you did a great job getting value on Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds, as a $100 bet on Paul to win at -139 wins you $71.94. But, that same bet at today's -185 odds wins $54.05.

As for Woodley, an early bet would have been somewhat of a disaster. At +100, you;d win $100 on a $100 bet. Now, a $100 bet on Woodley wins you $170.

Fighter Odds Implied Probability
Jake Paul -185 64.9%
Tyron Woodley +170 37%

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley Betting

As mentioned earlier, Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley odds haven't been the only things favoring Paul to win. Ever since betting opened, Paul has been the more popular pick between the two, by a fairly wide margin.

However, this weekend has seen a shift in the Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley betting market. Since Friday, 60.09% of all moneyline wagers on Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley have been on Woodley to upset Jake Paul.

As for Paul, his support has fallen off. Over that same time span, Jake Paul has been backed by 36.84% of all moneyline wagers. 2.92% of bets are on a Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley draw.

Fight Result Weekend Public Betting %
Jake Paul Win 36.99%
Draw 2.91%
Tyron Woodley Win 60.09%

Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley Date

  • Date: Sunday, August 29
  • Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse – Cleveland, Ohio
  • Start time: 8 p.m. ET

How To Watch Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley

Unlike the previous Jake Paul fight, Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley's broadcast rights are owned by Showtime. So, you can watch Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley on Showtime PPV, via your local cable provider.

  • How to watch: Showtime PPV or Showtime App
  • Price: $59.99

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