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Justin Tafa vs. Parker Porter Odds: 56% of Bets on Tafa to Beat Porter

UFC 284 will showcase the heavyweight bout between Justin Tafa and Parker Porter that should be a doozy. JohnnyCovers breaks down the odds.
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Justin Tafa vs. Parker Porter Odds: 56% of Bets on Tafa to Beat Porter

The UFC brings its viewers an international pay-per-view for the second time in as many months, returning the action to Australia for the first time since UFC 243 for a fight card highlighted by a massive "Champion vs. Champion" battle in the lightweight division.

With so many talented athletes from Oceania and fascinating confrontations throughout, UFC 284 is set to be an exciting event that adds to the strong beginning of the 2023 season.

Before the better-name fighters go at it late in the main card, let's take a closer look at a heavyweight bout between Justin Tafa and Parker Porter that should be a doozy.

Click here for $5000 worth of sports betting bonuses to use for the Tafa vs Porter at UFC 284 by using our free bets page!

Tafa vs. Porter Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: February 11, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM EDT
  • Where: RAC Arena (AUS), Perth, Australia
  • Where to Watch: PPV

Click here for Tafa vs Porter odds

Tafa vs. Porter Breakdown

Justin Tafa (5-3-0)

Tafa doesn't go too far from the standard Heavyweight model. He is a big boy with a lot of power, and at 265 pounds, he is the kind of fighter whose quickness can truly catch an opponent off guard. He has won all five of his matches by way of knockout, and he is one of just two fighters in UFC history who weigh less than 265 pounds.

His advantage will never be more apparent than in the opening frame because he is significantly more punishing and energetic than Porter. Additionally, Tafa frequently has to overcome a reach and height disadvantage, but that won't apply in this situation.

Parker Porter (13-7-0)

Porter is not a man with extraordinary strength or impressive athletic prowess. He does, however, bring some strong boxing, a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and the capacity to maintain a respectable tempo for 15 minutes. He may not be showy, but he frequently outworks opponents in the mid-level Heavyweight division who have an advantage in speed or power.

Porter is on the wrong side of the power equation though, as usual, despite having the talents to trade with Tafa. Tafa is undeniably the more potent finisher of the two, and I don't think Porter's boxing is quite clean enough to fight "Bad Man" and come out on top.

Justin Tafa vs Parker Porter Odds

When these odds opened up, things were about a pick-em on both sides, with Tafa the slight favorite at -115. Since then, the money has flowed in on the local favorite, as Tafa now sits at -125 to -130 across the board. For Porter bettors, you’re now able to get him at plus money, with BetMGM (+105) having the best number available. 

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Justin Tafa vs Parker Porter.

Justin Tafa vs Parker Porter Odds & Public Betting Data

Per our friends over at OddsShark, at average odds of +105 (Porter) and -125 (Tafa), the favorite Tafa is seeing 67% of the public betting.

How To Bet On Justin Tafa vs Parker Porter

Now that we’ve given you all the odds and betting data you need to wager on Justin Tafa vs. Parker Porter, let’s dive into the best betting promo available.


Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.


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