Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane Odds: Jones Given a 61% Chance to Beat Gane

Jon Jones and Ciryl Gane, the fight everyone's been waiting for, is just a few days away. Johnny Covers is here to dive deeper into the odds and his prediction for the UFC 285 fight between Jones and Gane.
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Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane Odds: Jones Given a 61% Chance to Beat Gane

The UFC 285 fight card, which will take place on Saturday, will have two title fights, a jam-packed main card, and a stacked preliminary card. The co-main event, in which Valentina Shevchenko will defend her women's flyweight title against Alexa Grasso, and the heavyweight championship fight between Jon Jones and Ciryl Gane are the two events that fans are most looking forward to.

Let's take a closer look at the main event of the evening, including a deeper dive into both fighters, as well as the odds. 

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Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane Start Time, Where to Watch, Odds

  • When: Saturday, March 4, 2023, 10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. PT
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

Click here for Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane odds

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Jon Jones (26-1-0)

Jones, one of the greatest fighters to ever don a pair of UFC gloves, will enter the octagon on Saturday for the first time in 1,120 days after being banned from the sport due to suspensions and legal difficulties. Jones held the title at light heavyweight for nearly ten years in a row and successfully defended it 13 times until exiting the sport three years ago.

In addition to fighting in a different weight division (heavyweight), his comeback will pit him against Ciryl Gane, a recent title candidate whose lone defeat came at the hands of Francis Ngannou.

Ciryl Gane (11-1-0)

There is no denying Gane's stunning rise to the top of the heavyweight class. Yet aside from Ngannou, he has mostly shied away from the freak athletes who have recently participated in this class.

Gane has been able to outstrike his opponents in the majority of his decision victories up to this point, all the while accumulating up points and avoiding the big blows that flatten fighters in at this weight.  Gane will be a stern test for Jones early on in the match because of his 5.11 significant strikes per minute in his own right. He has the power to get the job done as well, as evidenced by his recent TKO victories over Derrick Lewis and Tai Tuivasa.

Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane Odds

When these odds first hit the market when this fight was announced, the recent title contender Gane was actually favored by quite a bit (-166), with Jones coming at +140. Since then, things have gone sharply in the opposite direction, with Jones now as high as -170 and Gane in the +130 range.

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane

FighterOddsTotal Rounds
Jon Jones-165o4.5 (-138)
Ciryl Gane+145u4.5 (+117)

Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane Odds & Public Betting Data

According to, Gane is currently receiving 64% of the public betting action, an average odds of +135. As the fight approaches, I expect to see some buyback in the opposite direction. 

How To Bet On Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane

Now that we’ve given you all the odds and betting data you need to wager on Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane, let’s dive into the best betting promo available.

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Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.

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