Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Latest Odds, Fight Times, Streaming Information and Early Predictions
Jake Paul has just announced his blockbuster fight on Netflix with Anthony Joshua, his most accomplished opponent by far. Does Jake Paul have a chance as a massive underdog against the former heavyweight champ? Peter Alexis examines these Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua latest boxing odds ahead of the December 19th bout in Miami.
Peter Alexis - November 17, 2025, 11:00 AM EST
5 Minute ReadJake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Odds: Jake Paul Biggest Underdog of His Career in December 19th Heavyweight Bout in Miami
One of the most shocking boxing announcements of the year dropped Monday morning as Jake Paul and former heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua officially agreed to fight on Friday, December 19th at the Kaseya Center in Miami. What was originally supposed to be Paul’s matchup with Gervonta “Tank” Davis has transformed into something entirely different, as legal issues forced Davis out and opened the door for a blockbuster bout no one saw coming. Now Paul steps into the ring with one of the most accomplished heavyweights of the modern era, and the early odds reflect just how steep that climb is. Joshua opens as a massive -1450 favorite, while Paul sits at +770 in what will be the biggest test of his young career.
Anthony Joshua, the pride of UK boxing, brings a 28-4 record with 25 knockouts into Miami, as well as years of world championship experience. Paul, at 12-1, has beaten a number of aging stars, mixed martial artists, and retired athletes, but Anthony Joshua is something entirely different. This is Paul’s first time fighting a legitimate, prime era boxer with elite power and technique. And although Joshua has shown vulnerability over the past few years, going 6-4 in his last 10 fights, this matchup still represents a massive gap in skill, size, and pedigree. Whether Paul can rise to the challenge—or survive it—is the essential question of this early odds breakdown.
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Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
- Where to Watch: Netflix
Click here for complete Jake Paul vs. Anthony Johua odds
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Odds
- Moneyline: Jake Paul (+770), Anthony Joshua (-1450)
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Odds Breakdown
The gulf between these two fighters is clear in the numbers. Joshua’s -1450 price tag is one of the largest of his career, signaling both his pedigree and the perception that Paul is drastically outmatched. Paul has succeeded in the influencer boxing era largely because he has been able to dictate matchups against opponents well past their primes or lacking traditional boxing backgrounds. That advantage disappears entirely here. Joshua is not only younger than many of Paul’s past opponents, he is in prime athletic condition and carries bona fide championship level experience.
The history also leans heavily against Paul. Joshua’s knockout rate speaks for itself, with 25 finishes in 28 victories, and even in defeat he has shown an ability to remain competitive against elite competition. Paul’s lone loss to Tommy Fury is the closest comparison we have to a real boxing test, and that fight exposed clear limitations in his technique, footwork, and defensive reactions. Against a much larger, far more polished heavyweight like Joshua, those flaws could be magnified dramatically.
There is also the question of physical mismatch. Joshua’s combination of height, reach, and raw strength is something Paul has never encountered. His success against smaller fighters and older opponents won’t translate here, and the offensive pressure from Joshua could overwhelm him early. Even though Joshua has been inconsistent over his past ten fights (6-4_, he has still performed against the best heavyweights in the world. Paul has never faced anything close to that level of danger.
Yet, as with all combat sports, the underdog always has a puncher’s chance. Paul has legitimate power, solid conditioning, and a clear commitment to improving as a boxer. But in terms of experience, skill, and proven results at the highest level, this matchup represents an enormous leap. The odds reflect reality: Paul has a mountain to climb, and unless Joshua’s recent inconsistencies suddenly snowball, the YouTube star turned boxer will need his best performance by far just to stay competitive.
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