Oliveira vs. Chandler Fighter Records, Odds and Predictions
Oliveira vs. Chandler Fighter Records, Odds and Predictions
Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler are both two extremely well respected, veteran fighters in their own right. But, they’ve each taken very different paths to get where they are today, the top of the UFC lightweight division and fighting for a title at UFC 262.
For Oliveira, he’s been fighting in the UFC since 2021, an insane 11 year career in the company that is rare to see these days as fighters often come and go. He’s fought in 39 fights in the UFC and Saturday night will be his very first title shot at age 31.
Chandler is a veteran in his own right, but is new to the UFC. Michael Chandler has 27 professional fights but just one in the UFC. Chandler got his start in Bellator in 2010 and is the former Bellator lightweight champion.
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Charles Oliveria Record
Charles Oliveria has the most submissions victories in UFC history. Oliveira has 14 submission wins and broke the previous record of 11 in 2018. Right now, Oliveria is 30-8-0 (1 No Contest) in 39 professional fights.
| Res. | Record | Opponent | Method | Event | Date | Round | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 30–8 (1) | Tony Ferguson | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 256 | December 12, 2020 | 3 | 05:00 |
| Win | 29–8 (1) | Kevin Lee | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira | March 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:28 |
| Win | 28–8 (1) | Jared Gordon | KO (punches) | UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Jacaré | November 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:26 |
| Win | 27–8 (1) | Nik Lentz | TKO (punches) | UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Lee | May 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:21 |
| Win | 26–8 (1) | David Teymur | Submission (anaconda choke) | UFC Fight Night: Assunção vs. Moraes 2 | February 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 |
| Win | 25–8 (1) | Jim Miller | Submission (rear-naked choke) | UFC on Fox: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2 | December 15, 2018 | 1 | 01:15 |
| Win | 24–8 (1) | Christos Giagos | Submission (rear-naked choke) | UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Anders | September 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:22 |
| Win | 23–8 (1) | Clay Guida | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC 225 | June 9, 2018 | 1 | 02:18 |
| Loss | 22–8 (1) | Paul Felder | TKO (elbows) | UFC 218 | December 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:06 |
| Win | 22–7 (1) | Will Brooks | Submission (rear-naked choke) | UFC 210 | April 8, 2017 | 1 | 02:30 |
| Loss | 21–7 (1) | Ricardo Lamas | Submission (guillotine choke) | The Ultimate Fighter Latin America 3 Finale: dos Anjos vs. Ferguson | November 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:13 |
| Loss | 21–6 (1) | Anthony Pettis | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC on Fox: Maia vs. Condit | August 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:49 |
| Win | 21–5 (1) | Myles Jury | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC on Fox: dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 | December 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:05 |
| Loss | 20–5 (1) | Max Holloway | TKO (neck injury) | UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Oliveira | August 23, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 |
| Win | 20–4 (1) | Nik Lentz | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves | May 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:10 |
| Win | 19–4 (1) | Jeremy Stephens | Decision (unanimous) | The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale | December 12, 2014 | 3 | 05:00 |
| Win | 18–4 (1) | Hatsu Hioki | Submission (anaconda choke) | UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs. Marquardt | June 28, 2014 | 2 | 04:28 |
| Win | 17–4 (1) | Andy Ogle | Submission (triangle choke) | UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Mousasi | February 15, 2014 | 3 | 02:40 |
| Loss | 16–4 (1) | Frankie Edgar | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 162 | July 6, 2013 | 3 | 05:00 |
| Loss | 16–3 (1) | Cub Swanson | KO (punch) | UFC 152 | September 22, 2012 | 1 | 02:40 |
| Win | 16–2 (1) | Jonathan Brookins | Submission (anaconda choke) | The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale | June 1, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 |
| Win | 15–2 (1) | Eric Wisely | Submission (reverse calf slicer) | UFC on Fox: Evans vs. Davis | January 28, 2012 | 1 | 01:43 |
| Loss | 14–2 (1) | Donald Cerrone | TKO (punches) | UFC Live: Hardy vs. Lytle | August 14, 2011 | 1 | 03:01 |
| NC | 14–1 (1) | Nik Lentz | NC (overturned) | UFC Live: Kongo vs. Barry | June 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:48 |
| Loss | 14–1 | Jim Miller | Submission (kneebar) | UFC 124 | December 11, 2010 | 1 | 01:59 |
| Win | 14–0 | Efrain Escudero | Submission (rear-naked choke) | UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs. Palhares | September 15, 2010 | 3 | 02:25 |
| Win | 13–0 | Darren Elkins | Submission (armbar) | UFC Live: Jones vs. Matyushenko | August 1, 2010 | 1 | 00:41 |
| Win | 12–0 | Diego Bataglia | KO (slam) | Warriors Challenge 5 | February 14, 2010 | 1 | N/A |
| Win | 11–0 | Rosenildo Rocha | Submission (rear-naked choke) | 1 | 01:21 | ||
| Win | 10–0 | Eduardo Pachu | Decision (split) | Eagle Fighting Championship | September 26, 2009 | 3 | 05:00 |
| Win | 9–0 | Alexandre Bezerra | Submission (anaconda choke) | First Class Fight 3 | September 18, 2009 | 2 | 01:11 |
| Win | 8–0 | Dom Stanco | Submission (rear-naked choke) | Ring of Combat 24 | April 17, 2009 | 1 | 03:33 |
| Win | 7–0 | Carlos Soares | Submission (inverted triangle armbar) | Jungle Fight 12: Warriors 2 | March 21, 2009 | 1 | 02:48 |
| Win | 6–0 | Elieni Silva | TKO (knee and punches) | Korea Fight 1 | December 29, 2008 | 2 | N/A |
| Win | 5–0 | Daniel Fernandes | KO (punches) | N/A | N/A | ||
| Win | 4–0 | Mehdi Baghdad | TKO (punches) | Kawai Arena 1 | December 13, 2008 | 1 | 01:01 |
| Win | 3–0 | Diego Braga | TKO (punches) | Predador FC 9: Welterweight Grand Prix | March 15, 2008 | 1 | 02:30 |
| Win | 2–0 | Viscardi Andrade | TKO (punches) | 1 | 02:47 | ||
| Win | 1–0 | Jackson Pontes | Submission (rear-naked choke) | 1 | 02:11 |
Michael Chandler Record
Michael Chandler has fought in 27 professional fights and compiled a 22-5 record. His last loss came on May 11, 2019 when he lost his Bellator lightweight title to Patricio Freire.
| Res. | Record | Opponent | Method | Event | Date | Round | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 22–5 | Dan Hooker | TKO (punches) | UFC 257 | January 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:30 |
| Win | 21–5 | Benson Henderson | KO (punches) | Bellator 243 | August 7, 2020 | 1 | 02:09 |
| Win | 20–5 | Sidney Outlaw | KO (punches) | Bellator 237 | December 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 |
| Loss | 19–5 | PatrÃcio Freire | TKO (punches) | Bellator 221 | May 11, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 |
| Win | 19–4 | Brent Primus | Decision (unanimous) | Bellator 212 | December 14, 2018 | 5 | 05:00 |
| Win | 18–4 | Brandon Girtz | Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) | Bellator 197 | April 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:00 |
| Win | 17–4 | Goiti Yamauchi | Decision (unanimous) | Bellator 192 | January 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:00 |
| Loss | 16–4 | Brent Primus | TKO (doctor stoppage) | Bellator NYC | June 24, 2017 | 1 | 02:22 |
| Win | 16–3 | Benson Henderson | Decision (split) | Bellator 165 | November 19, 2016 | 5 | 05:00 |
| Win | 15–3 | Patricky Freire | KO (punch) | Bellator 157: Dynamite 2 | June 24, 2016 | 1 | 02:14 |
| Win | 14–3 | David Rickels | TKO (punches) | Bellator 145 | November 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:05 |
| Win | 13–3 | Derek Campos | Submission (rear-naked choke) | Bellator 138 | June 19, 2015 | 1 | 02:17 |
| Loss | 12–3 | Will Brooks | TKO (punches) | Bellator 131 | November 15, 2014 | 4 | 03:48 |
| Loss | 12–2 | Will Brooks | Decision (split) | Bellator 120 | May 17, 2014 | 5 | 05:00 |
| Loss | 12–1 | Eddie Alvarez | Decision (split) | Bellator 106 | November 2, 2013 | 5 | 05:00 |
| Win | 12–0 | David Rickels | KO (punches) | Bellator 97 | July 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:44 |
| Win | 11–0 | Rick Hawn | Submission (rear-naked choke) | Bellator 85 | January 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:07 |
| Win | 10–0 | Akihiro Gono | TKO (punches) | Bellator 67 | May 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:56 |
| Win | 9–0 | Eddie Alvarez | Submission (rear-naked choke) | Bellator 58 | November 19, 2011 | 4 | 03:06 |
| Win | 8–0 | Patricky Freire | Decision (unanimous) | Bellator 44 | May 14, 2011 | 3 | 05:00 |
| Win | 7–0 | Lloyd Woodard | Decision (unanimous) | Bellator 40 | April 9, 2011 | 3 | 05:00 |
| Win | 6–0 | Marcin Held | Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) | Bellator 36 | March 12, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 |
| Win | 5–0 | Chris Page | Submission (standing guillotine choke) | Bellator 32 | October 14, 2010 | 1 | 00:57 |
| Win | 4–0 | Scott Stapp | TKO (punches) | Bellator 31 | September 30, 2010 | 1 | 01:57 |
| Win | 3–0 | Sal Woods | Submission (rear-naked choke) | Strikeforce: Heavy Artillery | May 15, 2010 | 1 | 00:59 |
| Win | 2–0 | Richard Bouphanouvong | TKO (punches) | Strikeforce Challengers: Woodley vs. Bears | November 20, 2009 | 2 | 02:07 |
| Win | 1–0 | Kyle Swadley | TKO (punches) | First Blood OFC | August 8, 2009 | 1 | 03:30 |
Oliveira vs. Chandler Odds
Charles Oliveira is a slight favorite over Michael Chandler in his first ever title shot in the UFC. Oliveira has not lost since 2017 and will look to stretch his winning streak to nine straight fights come Saturday at UFC 262.
As of Friday, Oliveira is a -134 favorite over Chandler. At those odds, the sportsbooks are implying a 57.3% chance that Oliveira wears a belt for the first time ever. As for Chandler, his best available odds are currently +120. Those odds are indicative of a 45.5% shot of an upset.
| Fighter | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Oliveira | -134 | 57.3% |
| Michael Chandler | +120 | 45.5% |
Oliveira vs. Chandler Prediction
This fight is a tough one to predict as we’ve never seen Oliveria in a title fight and we’ve only seen Michael Chandler in a UFC octagon one time prior to the UFC 262 main event. The company clearly thinks highly of Chandler, he was the alternate for Kahbib vs. Gaethje had one of them not been able to go.
There is tons of value in either side of the moneyline since Oliveira vs. Chandler odds are so close. But, there may be even more value in picking the UFC’s submission king to make Chandler tap on Saturday night.
For full card prediction from UFC 262, including Oliveira vs. Chandler predictions, check out UFC expert Christian Broughton’s picks for Saturday’s main card here.
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