Figueiredo vs. Moreno Odds: Figueiredo Given 68.8% Chance To Win

Figueiredo vs. Moreno is the UFC 263 co-main event and bettors and oddsmakers aren't seeing the fight the same way
Brian Good
Fri, June 11, 6:09 AM EDT

Figueiredo vs. Moreno Odds: Figueiredo Given 68.8% Chance To Win

Most times, when Deiveson Figueiredo steps into the ring, he walks out a winner. The 33-year old flyweight champion is 20-1-1 in his 22-fight career. But, the last time Deiveson Figueiredo fought in the UFC the match ended in a draw, leaving most waiting for a rematch.

That fight was against Brandon Moreno and luckily for the fans, we’re getting Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno 2 at UFC 263.

Figueiredo vs. Moreno odds don’t necessarily reflect such a close match the first time these two met. Despite a back-and-forth fight, Figueiredo vs. Moreno odds still have the champion as a sizeable favorite.

It makes sense for a fighter like Figueiredo to see short odds in most fights, but can you really say that he deserves that against Brandon Moreno? Especially after Moreno pushed him to the brink of his second loss ever just in December of 2020.

Let’s take a look at the first fight between these two, some Figueiredo vs. Moreno betting and most importantly, what the Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno odds tell us about what to expect in Saturday’s UFC 263 co-main event.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno Odds

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno odds this time around are pretty much the same as the first time these two fighters met in the Octagon on December 12, 2020.

For that fight, Deiveson Figueiredo closed as a -260 favorite before fighting to a draw. Now, just a day away from their second fight, Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno odds have the champ at -220, with odds as short as -230 in some places.

At -220, oddsmakers are giving Figueiredo a 68.8% chance of beating a fighter that gave him everything he could handle last time out.

As for Brandon Moreno, his best odds to win are actually longer than they were leading up to the first fight. Moreno had +170 closing odds in December and his Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno odds this time around sit at +187, implying a 34.8% chance he wins.

Fighter UFC 263 Odds Implied Probability
Deiveson Figueiredo -220 68.8%
Brandon Moreno +187 34.8%

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno Betting

With Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno odds favoring the 20-1-1 champion and not moving too much in either direction following their draw last time out, you may expect to see bettors backing Figueiredo over Moreno, but the opposite has been the case.

Since Figueiredo vs. Moreno betting opened, 62.5% of all moneyline bets on the fight are backing Brandon Moreno to snatch the flyweight title at UFC 263.

Moreno’s odds give him just a 34.8% chance of winning, but that hasn’t stopped bettors from picking him to win.

Figueiredo’s odds do predict him as the favorite to win, but just 37.5% of bets have been on him to defeat Moreno on Saturday night.

Fighter Public Betting %
Deiveson Figueiredo 37.5%
Brandon Moreno 62.5%

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BetMGM Promo Terms

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