Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Odds: Bettors Backing McGregor to Win

Breaking down the latest Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds and bettign data
Brian Good
Tue, July 6, 3:03 PM EDT

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Odds: Bettors Backing McGregor

Every great trilogy needs a great ending, and this week we get what should be the final leg of the Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier trilogy with McGregor vs. Poirier III at UFC 264.

There are a ton of different storylines, but perhaps the most compelling is that of the McGregor vs. Poirier odds. Before their last fight, which took place in January, Conor McGregor was a massive favorite over Poirier as he looked to re-establish his dominance in the sport.

But, following Poirier’s TKO win over McGregor in their second fight, Dustin Poirier is actually the favorite this time around, even if it’s not by a large margin.

There is good money to be made on Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds, which you can find here, but it’s all about knowing where to look, who to pick and the latest betting trends. Let’s break it all down for the UFC 264 main event, McGregor vs. Poirier III.

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Odds

As I mentioned before, Conor McGregor was the overwhelming favorite when these two fighters met in the octagon at UFC 257 in January of 2021. Ahead of their second fight, Conor McGregor’s odds to beat Dustin Poirier sat at -275, implying a 73.3% chance he would win, which he did not. Meanwhile, Poirier’s odds to win were at +240.

But, just a few days away from UFC 264, the latest Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds have Poirier as the favorite over McGregor.

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier III odds have Dustin Poirier sitting at -120, while Conor McGregor is a +110 underdog.

The McGregor vs. Poirier odds are not entirely surprising to those that follow the sport. After all, Dustin Poirier is the No. 1 contender in the lightweight division while McGregor is the No. 5 ranked fighter in the weightclass.

People question whether or not McGregor still takes his UFC and MMA career seriously after he got a taste of boxing. A question it looks like oddsmakers have on their mind as well when looking at McGregor vs. Poirier odds.

Fighter Odds Implied Probability
Conor McGregor +110 47.6%
Dustin Poirier -120 54.5%

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Betting

Despite the fact that Dustin Poirier is the oddsmakers’ favorite, he hasn’t fully won over the betting public when it comes to Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier betting.

Since betting opened on Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier III, 46.37% of bets have come in on Poirier to win. And, even though McGregor is the underdog and just lost to Poirier six months ago, 53.63% of bettors are backing him to pull off the slight upset, earning himself a real shot at a lightweight title shot.

From a business perspective, it’s clear the UFC is rooting for McGregor. He is still the biggest name in the sport and a win would pave the way for fights against the likes of Charles Oliveira, Colby Covington and maybe even Kamaru Usman down the line.

Fighter Public Betting %
Conor McGregor 53.63%
Dustin Poirier 46.37%
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