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Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier Odds: Conor McGregor The Popular Pick

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds favor Poirier, but as we get closer to the UFC 264 main event the betting public is backing McGregor to win
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At this point in his career, it’s fair to ask if Conor McGregor himself is bigger than the UFC as a whole. Seemingly past his prime and not giving a lot of attention to the sport, McGregor is still the biggest draw in the company, despite the fact that he hasn’t been a UFC champion in quite some time.

When Conor McGregor was coming up through the ranks, he was a hungry fighter. He always talked, but he also prepared for all his fights as if he didn’t know where his next meal would come from. Now, he’s a globa superstar who has look disinterested in the sport at times.

But, that doesn’t really seem to matter. He is MMA. He’s the sport’s biggest superstar and every single time he steps into the octagon for the UFC he makes them boatloads on money.

So, it should come as no surprise that even though the latest McGregor vs. Poirier odds paint him as the underdog, he’s the overwhelmingly more popular when it comes to public betting.

Sure, he’s won just one fight since 2018 and lost by TKO to Dustin Poirier already once this year. That doesn’t matter, come Saturday there will be an arena full of spectators cheering his name and millions more around the world betting on Conor McGregor to win at UFC 264.

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Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Odds

So, with the fight right around the corner, what do the latest Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds look like? Well, compared to the last time they fought, McGregor’s chances of winning have plummeted. Conor McGregor was a -275 favorite before McGregor vs. Poirier II. Now, just a few days from the third instalment of their rivalry, he’s +115.

You don’t have to go back that far to find the last time McGregor was an underdog. It came during his 2018 fight against Khabib Nurmagomedov. But it’s one thing to be the underdog against one of the greatest mixed martial artists of all time. It’s another to be an underdog against a fighter who you mopped the floor with early in your career.

The first time Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier met in the octagon, Poirier was overmatched. A furry of strikes from McGregor ended with a left hook catch Poirier behind the ear and sending him to the canvas for a first round TKO.

But, when they fought this past January, it was Poirier that got the better of McGregor, earning a TKO victory in the second round for the biggest win of his professional fighting career.

Now, McGregor vs. Poirier odds have him at -125 in Saturday’s UFC 264 main event.

FighterUFC 264 OddsImplied Probability
Conor McGregor+11546.5%
Dustin Poirier-12555.6%

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Betting

The presumption is that sharp bettors are backing Poirier to win this. But, there are many people who bet with their heart instead of their head, which means that Conor McGregor is the favorite among the betting public.

In the last 24 hours, 64.72% of all moneyline bets on this fight are on McGregor to pull off the upset and defeat Dustin Poirier at UFC 264. That means that 35.28% of the bets have come in on Poirier to make it two straight wins over the Irishman.

FighterPublic Betting %
Conor McGregor64.72%
Dustin Poirier35.28%

Read our UFC expert's UFC 264 complete picks and predictions here

How to Bet on Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier

The chances are this fight will end with a finish. The first two iterations of McGregor vs. Poirier did, so it’s only right that the third leg doesn’t make it to the judges’ scorecards. You can get some pretty good odds on the fight ending in a KO, but at DraftKings you can risk just $1 and win $264 if your fighter wins in round one.

You, 264/1 odds on the fighter of your choosing winning in Round 1, and all you need to do is:

1. Click the exclusive link in the button below to qualify for DraftKings Bet $1, Win $264 If Either Fighter Wins In Round One promo

2. Complete the very simple registration process

3. Make a qualifying deposit of $5 +

4. Place a bet of at least $1 on either McGregor or Poirier to record a first round TKO/KO/DQ

5. You’ll be issued a single use odds boost for the event for +26400 (264-1) odds

6. Apply your boost to the fighter you think will win by adding that fighter’s first round win by TKO/KO/DQ to your bet slip and applying your boost

7. If your fighter wins in round one, collect your $264 winnings!


Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.


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