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Sean Strickland UFC Weigh In

Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa Odds: Strickland Given 72% Chance to Beat Costa at UFC 302

Tonight we have an electric fight between Sean Strickland and Paulo Costa. Strickland is given a 72% chance to beat Costa at UFC 302. JohnnyCovers provides the latest Strickland vs. Costa UFC 302 odds.

Johnny Covers - June 1, 2024, 9:00 AM EDT

5 min

Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa Odds: Strickland Given 72% Chance to Beat Costa at UFC 302

We are now into the double-digits in terms of times the UFC has visited the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, with nearly all of them being electric nights of fights. Saturday night’s UFC 302, on paper, is shaping up to be no different, the card is stacked with great matchups from top to bottom. 

At the top, a potential passing of the guard in the lightweight division is scheduled, as current champion and pound-for-pound number one Islam Makhachev takes on UFC icon Dustin Poirier. Before we get there, however, the future of the middleweight division is also up for grabs, as recent (former) champion Sean Strickland takes on Paolo Costa. 

Let’s take a closer look at both fighters, where the odds have landed, and who I like to walk away from this one victorious. 

STRICKLAND VS. COSTA DATE, TIME AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: June 1, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: PVV

Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa UFC 302 Odds

The odds opened for this middleweight clash with Strickland listed as a -200 favorite, where he mostly remained until recent days. As of Friday, the public has poured money in on the former champ, as he now sits as high as -265. For Costa backers, the best number available is currently sitting in the +215 range. 

Fighter

Odds

Total Rounds

Sean Strickland

-265

O4.5 (-105)

Paulo Costa

+215

U4.5 (-130)

Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa UFC 302 Prediction

Sean Strickland (28-6-0)

In one of the biggest upsets in the history of the UFC, Strickland took the middleweight belt from Israel Adesanya last year to become champion for the first time in his career. His first title defense in January did not go as planned, however, as he lost in January to Dricus Du Plessis in a razor-thin decision. 

Paulo Costa (14-3-0)

Coming in as the seventh-ranked middleweight in the promotion, Costa has lost three of his past four but a closer look shows they have all been against killers. Facing Marvin Vettori, Israel Adesanya, and Robert Whittaker, Costa lost all three but fought Whittaker and Adesanya to a close decision. 

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa

Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa UFC 302 Pick

While the metrics point toward Costa in this fight, I have learned my lesson on too many occasions to count underestimating Strickland. With a much higher fight IQ and opponent history, I like for Strickland to grind out a win in this one. 

Pick: Sean Strickland (-265) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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