UFC 324 Odds: Betting Odds for Paddy Pimblett vs. Justin Gaethje on January 24th

UFC 324 lands on January 24th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, marking the first UFC event under the new blockbuster Paramount+ broadcast deal. The promotion is wasting no time delivering a headliner with massive stakes, announcing an interim lightweight title fight between Paddy Pimblett and Justin Gaethje. With undisputed champion Ilia Topuria sidelined due to personal reasons, the winner of this clash will almost certainly move on to a unification bout later in 2026.

This is the biggest moment of Pimblett’s UFC career and a chance to solidify his rise from charismatic fan favorite to legitimate title contender. Riding a perfect 7-0 UFC record since debuting in 2021, Pimblett enters Las Vegas fresh off a win over Michael Chandler and now finds himself favored in his first championship opportunity. Across from him stands Justin Gaethje, the 37 year old legend who appeared to be inching toward retirement but now gets one more chance at gold. Whether he has enough left in the tank to derail the surging English star is one of the central questions entering fight week.

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UFC 324 Date, Time, and Where to Watch

• Date: Saturday, January 24th, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM ET (Main Card)
• Where to Watch: Paramount+

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Paddy Pimblett vs. Justin Gaethje Odds

• Moneyline: Pimblett (-205), Gaethje (+170)

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Oddsmakers have opened Paddy Pimblett as a -205 favorite, reflecting both his momentum and the uncertainty surrounding Gaethje’s late career form. At 30 years old, Pimblett enters his athletic prime with significantly less mileage and damage than his opponent. His grappling edge, pressure, and cardio have been key factors in his undefeated UFC run, and bettors clearly trust his ability to push the pace over five rounds. Bookmakers are treating him as the more durable, dynamic, and reliable fighter at this stage of their careers.

Justin Gaethje sits as a +170 underdog, a number that comes down to both age and wear. Known as one of the most violent, high output fighters in UFC history, Gaethje has been through countless wars, and the damage has accumulated. At 37, and with retirement discussions already swirling, it is fair to wonder what version of Gaethje will show up in January. However, Gaethje as an underdog has historically been dangerous. His knockout power, pressure striking, and championship experience mean he is never truly out of a fight, and many bettors will see this line as an opportunity if they believe Pimblett is taking too large of a leap in competition.

The stylistic matchup adds even more intrigue. Pimblett’s grappling and volume-based pressure contrast sharply with Gaethje’s elite leg kicks, counter punching, and one shot stopping power. If Pimblett can drag this into clinch exchanges and grappling scrambles, he should have the advantage. But if Gaethje keeps the fight at range and forces striking battles, the odds could swing quickly. This is a classic youth vs. experience battle with the interim title on the line.

Ultimately, the bookmakers are siding with the fresher fighter who has been on a consistent upward trajectory. Pimblett has shown fewer holes, has less damage, and carries more upside into a five round fight. Gaethje still has a path to victory, but it relies on landing something big or breaking Pimblett’s rhythm early. As UFC 324 approaches, expect these odds to tighten as bettors decide whether Pimblett’s rise is legit or whether Gaethje has one last great war left in him.

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