Academy Awards Odds & Betting: A Complete Breakdown of the 2021 Oscars

Complete betting odds and breakdown of the 2021 Academy Awards
Brian Good
Thu, April 22, 3:08 PM EDT

Academy Awards Odds & Betting: Complete Breakdown of 2021 Oscars

The 93rd Academy Awards, following their COVID-induced delay, are finally here and there are tons of different awards you can bet on. But, even if you’re not the betting type, the odds markets and public betting numbers can often tell you everything you need to know.

The 2021 Oscars are a star-studded event, like every other year, but what exactly can we expect with movie theaters closed for most of the past year? Well, lucky for you we’re breaking down a waide variety of awards and going deep into Oscars odds and betting, starting with best picture.

2021 Oscars – Best Picture Odds

 

Best Picture Odds

Public Betting

Nomadland

-600

44.17%

The Trial Of The Chicago 7

+600

11.12%

Minari

+1400

9.18%

Promising Young Women

+1700

5.94%

Judas and the Black Messiah

+3300

6.48%

Mank

+3300

5.83%

Sound Of Metal

+5000

2.92%

The Father

+10000

4.64%

Oscars Odds - Best Picture Prediction

Like everyone, I'm going with Nomadland to win Best Picture. Besides the fact that it's one of just a few on this list that I've seen, I'm riding with both the betting public and the oddsmakers. The implied probability that this film wins the award is well clear of 80%. I think it takes home the Oscar on Sunday.

2021 Oscars – Best Actor Odds

 

Best Actor Odds

Public Betting

Chadwick Boseman

-1600

50.55%

Anthony Hopkins

+700

18.02%

Riz Ahmed

+1400

12.97%

Steven Yeun

+2500

3.96%

Gary Oldman

+3300

3.74%

Oscars Odds: Best Actor Prediction

Another boring one from a competition standpoint, but not from an emotional one. Chadwick Boseman is going to win this award, as he should. Boseman, who passed away in August of 2020, will be just the second actor to ever win the Best Actor award posthumously if he is indeed victourious. The first and only other actor to do so was Peter Finch in 1977.

2021 Oscars – Best Actress Odds

 

Best Actress Odds

Public Betting

Carey Mulligan

+138

24.07%

Viola Davis

+200

29.44%

Frances McDormand

+400

10.05%

Andra Day

+600

11.45%

Vanessa Kirby

+2000

9.11%

Oscars Odds: Best Actress Prediction

I'm a little shocked to see Frances McDormand as the fourth most backed option in the Best Actress category for the 2021 Oscars. Nomadland comes in riding a hype train and she is fantastic in it. But, I'm going with the public here and picking my first upset. I think Viola Davis takes home the Oscar for Best Actress, nudging slight favorite Carey Mulligan.

2021 Oscars – Best Supporting Actor Odds

 

Best Supporting Actor Odds

Public Betting

Daniel Kaluuya

-1400

56.83%

Sacha Baron Cohen

+1200

15.83%

Paul Raci

+1400

20.86%

Leslie Odom Jr.

+1700

2.88%

LaKeith Stanfield

+3300

2.16%

Oscars Odds: Best Suporting Actor Prediction

Back to some of the more lopsided Oscars with the Best Supporting Actor category. Daniel Kaluuya is an unbelievable actor and his performance in Judas and the Black Messiah deserves to win him the Oscar for Best Actor. A little surprised to see Sacha Baron Cohen not right behind Kaluuya in popularity just because he's the most recognizable name in the category.

2021 Oscars – Best Supporting Actress Odds

 

Best Supporting Actress Odds

Public Betting

Youn Yuh-Jung

-300

41.79%

Maria Bakalova

+375

29.29%

Glenn Close

+1100

15%

Olivia Colman

+2000

5.7%

Amanda Seyfried

+3300

1.4%

Oscars Odds: Best Suporting Actress Prediction

Youn Yuh-Jung was fantastic in Minari. But, in order to keep things interesting and because I want to see Borat take home some hardware, I'm picking  Maria Bakalova to pull off the upset. It certainly wasn't a traditional role, but maybe that's what is needed to get the win.

2021 Oscars – Best Director Odds

 

Best Director Odds

Public Betting

Chloe Zhao

-2500

61.24%

David Fincher

+1000

10.08%

Lee Isaac Chung

+1700

3.1%

Emerald Fennell

+2000

4.65%

Thomas Vinterberg

+2500

18.6%

Oscars Odds: Best Director Prediction

Chloe Zhao is going to win Best Director at the 2021 Academy Awards for her film Nomadland. You can book it now. But, the real story here is the momentum behind Thomas Vinterberg. Despite having the longest odds (+2500), he is the second most popular pick among the betting public fo Another Round.

2021 Oscars – Best Orginal Screenplay Odds

 

Best Original Screenplay Odds

Public Betting

Promising Young Woman

-250

52.5%

The Trial Of The Chicago 7

+275

35%

Minari

+1400

7.5%

Judas And The Black Messiah

+3300

2.5%

Sound Of Metal

+3300

2.5%

Oscars Odds: Best Original Screenplay Prediction

Calling another upset here in the Best Original Screenplay category. I like The Trial of the Chicgao 7 to defeat Promising Young Woman. If we're going to make some money during the 93rd Academy Awards, we're going to need some winners that aren't odds on.

2021 Oscars – Best Adapted Screenplay Odds

 

Best Adapted Screenplay Odds

Public Betting

Nomadland

-350

27.12%

The Father

+450

34%

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

+800

8.47%

One Night In Miami

+1400

1.69%

The White Tiger

+3300

3.39%

Oscars Odds: Best Adapted Screenplay Prediction

I know, The Father is the bettors' favorite pick and I just talked about how I need some upset picks. But, I think Nomadland is going to be a force at the 2021 Oscars, and that includes taking home the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.

2021 Oscars – Best Animated Feature Film Odds

 

Best Animated Feature Odds

Public Betting

Soul

-2500

83.33%

Wolfwalkers

+800

3.86%

Onward

+2500

5.56%

Over The Moon

+2800

<1%

A Shaun The Sheep Movie

+4000

<1%

Oscars Odds: Best Animated Feature Film Prediction

Pixar and Disney are a beast in this category and Soul was a masterpiece. Jamie Foxx and Tina Fey brought their characters to life and made everyone (incuding myself) cry their eyes out in this one. Soul will take home the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film.

2021 Oscars – Best Original Song Odds

 

Best Original Song Odds

Public Betting

Speak Now

-155

16.18%

Io Si

+240

2%

Husavik

+350

48.53%

Fight For You

+2500

1%

Hear My Voice

+2500

32.35%

Oscars Odds: Best Original Song Prediction

Husavik will most likely not win, but that hasn't stopped bettors from backing the song to be Will Ferrell's first ever Oscar. So, I'm jumping on board and betting Husavik to win Best Original Song. At +350, it would be a nice priced winner to get here to offset some of the big favorites at the 2021 Academy Awards.

2021 Oscars Betting Promos

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  • Best Picture
  • Best Lead Actor
  • Best Lead Actress
  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best Director
  • Best Original Screenplay
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  • Best Animated Feature
  • Best Original Song

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