Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds
The Premier League season draws to a close with a fascinating clash at Turf Moor as relegation-threatened Burnley, currently languishing in 19th position, host high-flying Aston Villa, who sit comfortably in 5th place. This crucial encounter is scheduled for Saturday, May 10, 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 BST.
OC Staff - May 10, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadBurnley vs Aston Villa: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
The Premier League season draws to a close with a fascinating clash at Turf Moor as relegation-threatened Burnley, currently languishing in 19th position, host high-flying Aston Villa, who sit comfortably in 5th place. This crucial encounter is scheduled for Saturday, May 10, 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 BST.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Form
The Clarets head into this fixture in dire straits, having endured a torrid run of form. Their last outing saw them fall to a 3-1 away defeat against Leeds. This result extends their losing streak in the Premier League to five consecutive matches, underlining their struggle to pick up points. Over their last six league games, the home side has managed just one draw and five losses, accumulating a mere point and sitting 19th in the form table. They haven't managed a win in nine matches, either drawing or losing each time.
In contrast, Aston Villa arrive with a mixed bag of recent results, though their overall season has been impressive. Their most recent match was a resounding 4-0 home victory over Nottingham Forest in the Europa League. Prior to that, their Premier League form has seen them win three and lose three of their last six fixtures across all competitions. While not entirely consistent, the Villans have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their European campaign.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Head to Head
History heavily favours the visitors in recent meetings between these two clubs. The last time these sides met, in October 2025, Aston Villa secured a narrow 2-1 victory at home in the Premier League.
Looking back at their last six encounters, Aston Villa have been dominant, winning four times, with Burnley claiming just one victory and one match ending in a draw. Notably, the Villans have won their last three matches against the Turf Moor outfit in all competitions, often doing so emphatically. A significant statistic reveals that Aston Villa have been winning at both half-time and full-time in their last three clashes with the Clarets. Furthermore, the visitors have scored at least two goals in their last four away matches against Burnley across all competitions.
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Burnley vs. Aston Villa Odds
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Burnley vs Aston Villa Probable Lineups
Burnley (4-2-3-1): Dúbravka; Hartman, Estève, Ekdal, Walker; Ward-Prowse, Florentino; Anthony, Ugochukwu, Edwards; Flemming
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Digne, Torres, Konsa, Cash; Tielemans, Luiz; Buendía, Rogers, McGinn; Watkins
Burnley vs Aston Villa Team News
Burnley's injury woes continue to mount as they face Aston Villa. The home side will be without the injured J. Beyer, J. Cullen, and C. Roberts. Additionally, A. Tuanzebe remains a doubt, though he is the only one of the Clarets' absentees who could potentially make a return. Zeki Amdouni will be hoping for increased minutes after his recent return to action against Leeds.
Aston Villa also have a couple of key midfielders sidelined, with B. Kamara and A. Onana both injured, and Onana battling to play again this season. However, there's positive news with Douglas Luiz potentially earning a start after featuring from the bench in the last seven competitive games. Jadon Sancho will also be pushing for a place on the left flank, despite Emi Buendía's strong performance in their last outing against Nottingham Forest.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Match Facts
- Burnley have lost their last 5 matches in Premier League.
- Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 4 home matches against Aston Villa in all competitions.
- Aston Villa have been winning at both half-time and full-time in their last 3 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Aston Villa have won their last 3 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Aston Villa have scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 away matches against Burnley in all competitions.
Prediction: Burnley 0-2 Aston Villa
Burnley are in desperate need of points but face a monumental task against an Aston Villa side pushing for European qualification. The Clarets' current form is alarming, having lost their last five Premier League matches and sitting 19th in the overall standings. Their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by weaknesses in defending against wing attacks, aerial duels, counter-attacks, and set pieces, as well as a tendency for individual errors. They also struggle to keep possession and stop opponents from creating chances, all areas where Aston Villa's attacking strengths could thrive.
Aston Villa, despite some recent league stumbles, possess a higher average rating (6.57 vs 6.43), significantly more possession (53.55% vs 41.94%), and better accurate passing (85.22% vs 78.83%). Their attacking prowess, particularly down the wings and from long shots, aligns perfectly with Burnley's defensive frailties. The visitors' ability to protect a lead and their strong head-to-head record, including winning their last three encounters and scoring at least two goals in their last four away games against Burnley, further bolster their chances. The forecast items also suggest Villa will dominate possession and score from long shots and wing play. We anticipate a professional performance from the Villans, securing a comfortable away victory and a clean sheet.
Best Bet: Aston Villa to Win to Nil Click here to get the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Given Aston Villa's strong defensive record in recent head-to-head matches against Burnley, coupled with the home side's struggles in front of goal and their defensive weaknesses, backing the Villans to win without conceding seems a shrewd move. The fact that Aston Villa have won their last three against Burnley and have been winning at both half-time and full-time in those games indicates their superiority, which we expect to continue here.
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