Since being picked up by the New England Patriots last month, Cam Newton was widely tipped to slide straight into the starting team and oddsmakers were in agreement.
The day after he signed, Newton’s odds of being the Pats signal caller against the Miami Dolphins on 13th November were set at -500; put simply, this suggest an implied chance of 83.33%. Jared Stidham, by comparison, had odds of +450 (18.18%)
However, there are plenty of fans, pundits, analysts and experts who rate young Jarrett Stidham extremely highly, and it seems that perhaps their opinion has affected oddsmakers’ in recent weeks.
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Some books even have Jarrett Stidham as more likely to win the NFL's MVP trophy this year, perhaps worried that Cam won't win the starting job, or stay healthy for long enough to win it.
Stidham is as short as +5500 to be named Most Valuable Player, although you can get him at +15000 with some books. Newton meanwhile is shorter with the majority of books, as short as +3000 in some cases, and as long as +8000, with some books placing Stidham as the most likely of the New England pair to win the award. It's an interesting wrinkle that we're looking forward to seeing progress as the season draws closer.
Oddschecker spokesperson Pete Watt: “Newton remains the clear favorite with the books but bettors are clearly seeing some value in Stidham and rightly so.”
“In the past week, there has been a slight increase in the number of wagers placed on Stidham starting the Patriots opener – 31% of bets have backed this outcome, compared to just 11% in the previous week.”
“Once pre-season is underway and the season looms closer, activity on these markets will increase and whilst Bill Belichick is a notoriously hard man to read, any indication from him on who will be the Week One QB will be jumped on by sports bettors.