With this week’s announcement that the Big 10 and Pac-12 would not be playing football in 2020, bettors have begun to focus in on Trevor Lawrence’s chances of going first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft.
As of Saturday, a whopping 75% of all bets on who will be drafted first in 2021 since the Big 10 and Pac-12 announcements have backed Lawrence.
The mass backing of Lawrence makes sense. The biggest potential threat of being selected ahead of Clemson’s superstar QB, Ohio State QB Justin Fields, won’t be playing college football this season because of the Big 10’s decision.
The oddsmakers also seem to agree with the betting public. Lawrence is the heavy favorite to go No. 1. His -250 odds imply a 71.4% chance.
Fields’ odds of +350 have an implied probability of 22.2%.
A lot more than talent dictates NFL draft picks. If a team that doesn’t need a quarterback, like Washington, the New York Giants or the Miami Dolphins, were to land the first pick then someone like Penei Sewell (+500) or Micah Parsons (+2500) would likely be the pick.
Both Parsons and Sewell will sit out the 2020 season.
2021 NFL Draft Odds – First Overall Pick
Trevor Lawrence -250
Justin Fields +350
Penei Sewell +500
D'Eriq King +1600
Micah Parsons +2500
Alex Leatherwood +4000
Gregory Rousseau +4000
Jamie Newman +4000
Travis Etienne +4000
KJ Costello +4500