Zach Wilson Odds: Wilson The Best Value Bet For NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson strikes an attractive pose in awards betting, offering the best value among the first five rookie quarterbacks for NFL OROY
Nikki Adams
Thu, August 26, 4:15 AM EDT

New York Jets QB Zach Wilson Odds

  • Zach Wilson MVP Odds
  • Zach Wilson Passing Yards Odds
  • Zach Wilson Passing TDs Odds
  • New York Jets Super Bowl Odds

QB Zach Wilson MVP Odds & Props

Player Prop Odds
MVP +20000
Offensive Rookie of the Year +800
Passing TD Total O/U 21.5 (-115)
Passing Yards Total O/U 3,800.5 (-115)

Zach Wilson Odds

New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson is a distant afterthought for the NFL’s Most Valuable Player. Books price the rookie quarterback as a longshot bet priced at whopping +20000 odds to win the NFL’s most coveted player award. In other words, betting on Zach Wilson MVP Odds offers a low probability for return on investment. 

Where Zach Wilson promises good value, though, is the NFL’s Offensive Rookie of the Year award (OROY). In this market, the BYU product is tipped as the fourth-best- bet at +800, behind top fave Trevor Lawrence, second-best bet Justin Fields, and third-best bet Trey Lance

Last season, LA Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert won the OROY after a standout rookie season. Herbert wasn’t the top favorite in this market, to begin with, but he nevertheless beat a plethora of first-year quarterbacks and hopefuls on the strength of his output in 15 starts for the Chargers. 

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Wilson Strikes An Attractive OROY Pose

The New York Jets are all in on Zach Wilson this season, with an underlying expectation that he’ll prove to be the long-awaited savior to lead the Gang Green to pastures new. Why else would the organization have traded away former No.3 pick Sam Darnold and then select the fresh-faced BYU standout with the No.2 pick in the 2021 NFL draft, if not to continue its search for a bona fide franchise quarterback?

Zach Wilson is the unquestionable starter in New York, and he’s going to be surrounded by a solid supporting cast of players on both the offense and defense. Crucially, the Jets are beginning a new era with head coach Robert Salah, the former San Francisco 49ers defensive coordinator. Salah is an alpha-dog head coach. The total opposite to former head coach Adam Gase, who turned the Jets into the league’s laughingstock and, by all accounts, lost the locker room during his stint with the franchise. 

What Salah promises to bring to the table, over and above his passion, enthusiasm, and unbridled love for the game of football, is a total culture change. Salah is widely respected by his peers, counterparts, and staff. Former players have spoken about how much they love to play for him. He is inspiring and motivating on the field and yet, so down to earth and humble off the field. 

So, with such a setup designed to give Wilson the maximum chance of success in his rookie year, it’s fair to say that he’s in arguably the most favorable situation of any of the rookie quarterbacks set to start this season. How the season unfolds, MVP or OROY or what not …well, that’s down to him, how he ultimately performs. What he does will determine whether he is indeed deserving of plaudits and awards. 

Zach Wilson MVP Odds vs. OROY Odds

As mentioned above, Zach Wilson MVP Odds are a longshot punt, while his OROY odds offer a more reasonable probability of coming through for backers. But why is Zach Wilson the value bet in OROY betting, better than Trevor Lawrence, Justin Fields, or Trey Lance? Well, the answer is twofold. 

Offensive Rookie Of The Year betting starts with Trevor Lawrence, the much hyped-up No.1 draft pick of the 2021 NFL draft. Under all the hype and buzz surrounding Lawrence’s selection, the market is predictably cornered in his camp with odds of +300 at most books. And yet, by that very same token, he’s too heavily favored to be considered the best value bet. 

After Lawrence, Justin Fields, and Trey Lance emerge as the second and third bets in this market. This is a somewhat surprising outlook given that neither rookie is assured of a starting job at the time of writing. As far as it’s known, both will be sporting a clipboard and headset on the sidelines for the better part of the season. That is unless, of course, something unforeseen should occur like an injury to Andy Dalton or Jimmy Garoppolo or the leash being so short on the pair mentioned above that one lousy game results in a quarterback swap. That was the case with Justin Herbert, who stepped in for an injured Tyrod Taylor in week 2 of the season and promptly won the job from there onwards.

Apart from Lawrence, therefore, only Zach Wilson is assured of the starting job in week 1 of the NFL season. That alone should make him the second-best bet in this market, although bookies seem to think otherwise. 

Compared to Lawrence, Wilson’s setup is more encouraging. Lawrence is joining a team that is in complete rebuild under a new head coach that has zero NFL experience. Urban Meyer has met with unparalleled success at the college football level, but it’s yet uncertain whether he can transcend the NFL and reach similar success. While the Jets are in a rebuild, too, Salah’s proven NFL experience, including a Super Bowl appearance with the Niners, makes a case for Wilson Odds stronger. 

Now, betting on Wilson at +800 isn’t precisely a crazy fantastic value. It’s not going to break the bank. However, it’s decidedly better value for money than betting on Lawrence, Fields, or Lance is at the moment. Thus, it’s an NFL pick worth considering.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Trevor Lawrence +350
Justin Fields +650
Trey Lance +750
Zach Wilson +800
Kyle Pitts +1100
Najee Harris +1300
Mac Jones +1400
JaMarr Chase +1700

Zach Wilson Odds & Props

Robert Salah is a defensive-minded coach, so widely the Jets are expected to figure as a defense-first team. However, through the NFL preseason, snippets of what offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur and 

Zach Wilson can do together were on display and were encouraging. Most notably, in week 2 as Wilson led the Jets to a win over the Packers. He looked poised in the pocket, completed 9-of-11 passes for 128 yards and 2 touchdowns while not throwing an interception or getting sacked once. His quarterback rating when all was said and done was a near-perfect 154.7.

Of course, it’s the preseason where games aren’t played at full throttle, and results should be taken with a grain of salt. And yet, Wilson impresses many NFL observers regardless. This optimism has trickled down to the betting, where it’s reflected in a slew of Zach Wilson Odds. For instance, Wilson’s regular-season passing touchdowns are projected to 21.5, with both the OVER and UNDER priced at -115, and his regular-season passing yards are projected to 3800.5, with both the OVER and UNDER priced at -115. As a point of reference, Herbert went for 4.336 yards and 31 TDs in 2020. So, if the Jets rookie quarterback is your OROY bet for 2021, betting on any of these periphery prop bets is well worth considering too.

New York Jets Super Bowl Odds & Props

Futures Bet Odds Implied Probability
Super Bowl +15000 0.7%
To Win AFC +8000 1.2%
To Win Division +2500 3.8%
To Make Playoffs Yes +490 / No -600 Yes 16.9%/ No 85.7%
Win Total O/U Over 6 (-105) U 6 (-105) O/U 51.2%

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