Derrick Henry Odds: Can Henry Rush His Way to an MVP?

Derrick Henry is amongst the top non-quarterback bets to win the MVP award. Nikki Adams breaks down if bettors should buy what the Titans running back is selling in this market.
Nikki Adams
Mon, August 30, 8:17 AM EDT

Tennesee Titans RB Derrick Henry Odds

  • Derrick Henry MVP Odds
  • Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Odds
  • Derrick Henry Rushing TD Odds
  • Tennessee Titans Super Bowl Odds

RB Derrick Henry MVP Odds & Props

Player Prop Odds
MVP +6000
Lead NFL In Rushing +400
Lead NFL In Rushing TDs +500
Total Rushing Yards 1,555.5 (Over -130/ Under +100)
Total Rushing TDs Over/Under 13.5 (-115)

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Derrick Henry Odds

For two straight seasons, the Tennessee Titans have reached the playoffs, but 2020 was a disappointment compared to the magical run in 2019 that saw the Titans reach the AFC Championship game against the odds. The Titans were knocked out of the wildcard round by the Baltimore Ravens last season after the Titans fritted away a 10-point lead to succumb to the 20-13 defeat. 

Nevertheless, Derrick Henry was the team’s standout performer in 2020. The star running back led the league in rushing with 2,027 yards and 17 touchdowns with an average of 5.4 yards per carry. Henry finished with 470 yards more than his nearest rushing challenger, Dalvin Cook. It marked the second straight season that Henry finished atop the rushing leader board, but, incredibly, he managed to outdo his 2019 performance by rushing for 487 yards more in 2020 to crack the 2,000-yard mark.

Henry is a game-changer and the best running back on the planet. And so long as he carries the momentum into 2020, there’s no reason he can’t crack the 2,000-yard mark again, especially now that the NFL season is comprised of 17 games. As such, Derrick Henry Odds, across multiple markets, set up the Titans running back as the player to beat. Moreover, if there ever were a player that could disrupt the monopoly on the MVP award that’s been enjoyed by quarterbacks in recent years, it would be Henry. 

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Odds

Derrick Henry averaged 126.7 yards per game last season after playing all 16 games. Three games saw the Titans running back scamper for 200-plus yards, including week 16, when he totted up an incredible 250 yards on the ground. Given what Henry accomplished throughout 16 games last season, it’s scary to think about what he might do with one additional game. But, give him an inch, and he’ll take a mile.

On the back of Henry’s 2020 campaign, it’s no surprise that he’s tipped as the running back to beat in the betting. Derrick Henry Rushing Yard Odds are set to +400, putting him a country mile ahead of the next challenger, Dalvin Cook (+600). So long as Henry is fit and healthy, he’s likely to leave everyone in the dust. 

As well as betting on Henry winning the rushing yards race, markets are offering prop bets on the total number of yards. Henry is projected to 1,555.5 yards with the OVER heavily favored at -130 and the UNDER tipped on EVEN odds. Henry has averaged 1,783.5 yards in the last two seasons, which is a good deal more significant than what the market is projecting right now. Bear in mind; the NFL season features 17 games; the 1,555.5 yards seems relatively low for a player of Henry’s caliber. Color the world shocked if Henry doesn’t smash that mark. 

Derrick Henry Total Rushing Yards is set at 1,555.5 (Over -130/ Under +100)

Derrick Henry To Lead NFL In Rushing Yards @ +400

Derrick Henry Total Rushing TDs Odds

In the bid to score the most rushing touchdowns, Henry cuts a convincing figure. Derrick Henry Rushing TD odds are the shortest in the market at +500, but he has Dalvin Cook again nipping at his heels as the second-best bet at +600

Derrick Henry accounted for 17 touchdowns in 16 games in 2020 and 16 touchdowns in 15 games in 2019. Altogether, he has scored 33 times over 31 games which yields an average of 1.06 touchdowns per game. So why books are projecting Henry to merely 13.5 touchdowns in 2021 is a mystery. Moreover, both the OVER and UNDER 13.5 is priced at -115, which further compounds this mystery. Indeed, Henry can crack 13 touchdowns with his eyes closed.

Derrick Henry Total Rushing TDs is set at 13.5 (Over/Under -115)

Derrick Henry To Lead NFL In Rushing TDs @ +500

Derrick Henry MVP Odds

The last time a running back won the MVP award was in 2012 when Adrian Peterson clinched the coveted honor. If there’s ever going to be another running back to accomplish the feat, many will back Henry without hesitation to be the first since Peterson ran away with it almost a decade ago. However, with nearly 20 other quarterbacks ahead of Henry on the MVP odds board, it’s going to be a tough ask. 

Hence, Henry MVP Odds are set at +6000 – ten times higher than the short-odds-on favorite Patrick Mahomes, who is priced at +500 to clinch the honor for the second time in three years. When the probability is slim as it is with Henry, it’s a longshot bet and one that’s not for the fainthearted. So, don’t go betting the farm on it.  

Derrick Henry MVP Odds Set @ +6000

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Tennessee Titans Super Bowl Odds

Futures Bet Odds
Super Bowl +3000
To Win AFC +1500
To Win Division -106
To Make Playoffs Yes (-144) / No (+140)

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