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Drake Maye NFL Draft Odds: Who will Draft Drake Maye?

Former North Carolina Tar Heel quarterback Drake Maye declared for the NFL Draft. So which team will draft Maye on April 25th? There are a few teams in the mix to land Drake Maye.
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Who will Draft Drake Maye?

Team Odds Implied Probability 
Patriots -125 55.6% 
Giants +700 12.5% 
Bucs +700 12.5% 
Bears +1200 7.7% 
Cardinals +1200 7.7% 
Commanders +1500 6.3% 
Other Team +900 10%

Who will Draft Drake Maye?

As owners of the #3 pick, the New England Patriots are best positioned to draft North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye at -125 odds (55.6% probability). New England is entering a new era post-Bill Belichick and could see the talented Maye as the ideal centrepiece to build around. His prototypical size at 6'4" and 230 pounds combined with his electric arm talent and athleticism make him a high-upside future franchise QB. The Patriots could have Maye compete with incumbent starter Mac Jones, giving them flexibility at the crucial quarterback spot. While teams like the Giants (+700 odds) and Buccaneers (+700) have an outside shot at trading up for Maye, the betting market sees the Patriots as by far the most likely destination for the promising signal caller. Barring a massive draft day trade, expect New England to usher in its new chapter under center with Drake Maye leading the Patriots into the future. 

Will the Patriots draft Maye?

Patriots (-125 odds, 55.6% implied probability) 

As owners of the 3rd overall pick, the New England Patriots are currently favored at -125 odds to draft North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye. This translates to a 55.6% implied probability that Maye ends up in New England. Bringing in Maye's big arm to compete with Mac Jones would give the Patriots options at the crucial QB spot in this new chapter. Selecting Maye and his prototypical size and arm talent would help New England smoothly shift towards its future without Belichick calling the shots. 

Could Maye be heading to NYC? 

Giants (+700 odds, 12.5% implied probability) 

The New York Giants lurk as a potential dark horse to trade up for Drake Maye at +700 odds (12.5% implied probability). With Daniel Jones heading into a contract year, the Giants could make a splash by moving up from #6 to grab his replacement in Maye. But the odds imply it's improbable New York has the draft capital for such a significant trade up. 

Will the Bucs draft Maye? 

Buccaneers (+700 odds, 12.5% implied probability) 

Similarly to the Giants, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have +700 odds (12.5% implied probability) to draft Drake Maye. With Tom Brady's future unclear even at 45 years old, the Bucs could see Maye as the heir apparent at QB. However, the odds signify it's highly unlikely Tampa Bay trades up from #19 overall to land Maye. 

The odds of Drake Maye being number one draft pick

Player Decimal Odds Implied Probability 
Caleb Williams 1.11 90.9% 
Drake Maye 12.5% 
Marvin Harrison Jr 23 4.2% 
Jayden Daniels 11 8.3% 
Kool-Aid McKinstry 51 1.9%

Despite being considered a top quarterback prospect, Drake Maye faces long odds of actually going number one overall in the 2024 Draft. With decimal odds of 8.0, Maye has just a 12.5% implied probability of being the first player picked. Those odds pale in comparison to fellow quarterback Caleb Williams, who holds over 90% odds to be taken first. While Maye likely will still go very early, the betting market sees his chances of being the number one choice as highly unlikely. 

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