NFL MVP Odds: Drake Maye New MVP Favorite Amid Patriots 7-Game Win Streak
The New England Patriots have looked unstoppable at 8-2, as the 7-game win streak rolled on in Tampa with Drake Maye leading a win over the Bucs. Can the second-year star QB keep the stats rolling in the second half of the season as he becomes the new MVP favorite? Peter Alexis examines the NFL MVP race after Week 10.
Peter Alexis - November 10, 2025, 4:30 PM EST
5 Minute ReadNFL MVP Odds: Can Drake Maye Contend for MVP in Second NFL Season as Patriots Continue to Cruise?
What a difference a week makes in the NFL MVP race. Just seven days ago, Patrick Mahomes was the clear frontrunner at +150, with Josh Allen (+400) and Drake Maye (+500) trailing behind. But after a shocking Bills loss to the Dolphins and a Chiefs bye week that kept Mahomes off the stat sheet, the market has flipped on its head. New England’s young star Drake Maye has taken over as the new MVP favorite at +300, while Mahomes and Allen slide down the board.
It’s not just Maye rising though, it’s a crowded field of challengers. Matthew Stafford has stormed into the picture after the Rams crushed the 49ers in one of the most lopsided divisional games of the season, and Jonathan Taylor continues to dominate on the ground with another jaw-dropping performance overseas. Allen’s turnover woes and Buffalo’s inconsistencies have dragged him down to +700, while Mahomes sits just behind the top tier at +600, not because of poor play, but because others have surged while he rested. With eight weeks to go, this MVP race has become one of the most wide-open in recent memory.
If this past week was any indication, the leaderboard could shift again at any moment. Each of the five leading candidates — Maye, Stafford, Taylor, Mahomes, and Allen — has a compelling case, and the final stretch of the season will come down to wins, efficiency, and statement performances in primetime. Let’s break down how each contender stacks up after Week 9.
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NFL MVP Odds Breakdown
Drake Maye (+300) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Drake Maye’s sophomore leap has been one of the biggest storylines of the NFL season. The Patriots’ young quarterback has powered New England to a surprising 6-3 record while ranking top three in both passing yards (2,514) and touchdowns (19), with two more scores on the ground. What’s most impressive is how poised Maye has looked behind an inconsistent offensive line, leading comeback drives and thriving under Mike Vrabel’s new system. His command and production have earned him the top spot in the MVP odds — but the pressure will only intensify as the Patriots face tougher competition down the stretch.
Matthew Stafford (+300) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Few stories in the league are more satisfying than Matthew Stafford’s resurgence. The 17-year veteran, who spent over a decade carrying Detroit, is finally getting the recognition that’s eluded him his entire career. Stafford leads the NFL with 25 touchdown passes, ranks fourth in passing yards (2,472), and has thrown just two interceptions. The Rams’ 7-2 start and his connection with Davante Adams and Puka Nacua have made L.A. one of the most dangerous offenses in football. If the Rams keep pace with San Francisco in the NFC West, Stafford might finally claim the MVP trophy that’s long escaped him.
Jonathan Taylor (+500) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Jonathan Taylor is rewriting the running back narrative in an era dominated by quarterbacks. After rumbling for 244 yards and three touchdowns against the Falcons in Germany, Taylor now leads the league in both rushing yards (1,139) and touchdowns (15). He’s topped 100 yards in half of the Colts’ games this year and has produced two three-touchdown outings in his last three. The Colts’ offense flows entirely through him, and if Indianapolis can sneak into playoff contention, Taylor could make history as the first running back to win MVP since Adrian Peterson in 2012.
Patrick Mahomes (+600) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Mahomes’ slide in the odds isn’t about regression — it’s simply about inactivity. The Chiefs were on bye, giving others a chance to pile up counting stats while Mahomes stood still. Even so, the two-time MVP remains within striking distance. He’s thrown for over 2,300 yards with 21 total touchdowns and only five turnovers. Kansas City’s 5-4 record keeps him in contention, and with several marquee games ahead, it wouldn’t take much for Mahomes to reclaim the top spot. The market is just waiting for one of those classic Mahomes moments to remind everyone who still runs this league.
Josh Allen (+700) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Allen’s MVP hopes took a major hit after Buffalo’s 34-24 loss to the Dolphins, where he threw two interceptions and lost a fumble. His turnover issues have resurfaced, and the Bills’ 5-4 record puts him on the outside looking in. Statistically, Allen remains elite — 22 total touchdowns and over 2,600 combined yards — but voters and markets alike value efficiency and team success. Unless the Bills go on a late-season run and Allen tightens his decision-making, he’ll likely fade from serious MVP contention.
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