NFL Coach of the Year Odds: Mike Vrabel Surpasses Shane Steichen As Patriots Win Streak Continues
The Patriots and Colts are dueling atop the AFC, and both head coaches are fighting for Coach of the Year amid the success. Mike Vrabel has finally taken over as favorite in the COTY market, stealing the throne from Shane Steichen for now. With both teams at 8-2, it will come down the stretch to who finishes the strongest in the regular season. Peter Alexis analyzes the NFL Coach of the Year race after Week 10
Peter Alexis - November 11, 2025, 9:00 AM EST
5 Minute ReadNFL Coach of the Year Odds: Mike Vrabel New Favorite in COTY Race Amid 7-Game Patriots Win Streak
The NFL Coach of the Year race has flipped once again as we hit Week 10, and what was once Shane Steichen’s award to lose is now a dead heat at the top. New England’s Mike Vrabel has overtaken the lead at +125, just ahead of Steichen at +140, with Seattle’s Mike Macdonald rising fast at +280 after an impressive four-game win streak. It’s shaping up to be a classic battle between three coaches who have revitalized their franchises and positioned their teams among the league’s elite.
Meanwhile, Detroit’s Ben Johnson sits further back at +3000, still technically in the race but needing a big finish to make up ground. All four have crafted strong narratives, but with only two months left, it may come down to which team finishes strongest — and who captures voters’ imaginations in the season’s defining stretch.
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2025 Coach of the Year Odds
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NFL Coach of the Year Odds Breakdown
Mike Vrabel (+125) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Vrabel’s turnaround in New England has been the defining coaching story of the season. After a 1-2 start, the Patriots have ripped off seven straight wins, including a statement road victory over the Buccaneers last week that cemented them as legitimate AFC contenders. Vrabel has rebuilt the Patriots’ defensive identity while guiding second-year QB Drake Maye to stardom. His ability to get a young, injury-riddled team to 8-2 in his first season back in Foxborough has made him the betting favorite, and his narrative — returning home and resurrecting a fallen dynasty — carries major weight with voters.
Shane Steichen (+140) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Steichen’s Colts remain one of the league’s best stories, sitting at 8-2 after a thrilling overtime win over the Falcons in Germany. Though his odds have slipped slightly from +120 to +140, it’s not due to poor performance — it’s simply that Vrabel and Macdonald have matched his pace. Steichen’s decision to build the offense around Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor continues to look like genius, and Indianapolis leads the league in scoring efficiency. If the Colts can finish strong and secure a top seed in the AFC, Steichen could easily reclaim the top spot before season’s end.
Mike Macdonald (+280) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Seattle’s second-year head coach has skyrocketed up the odds board thanks to a four-game win streak and a dominant defensive resurgence. The Seahawks have blown out the Commanders and Cardinals in consecutive weeks, improving to 7-2 and holding a share of the NFC West lead. Macdonald’s defensive schemes have transformed Seattle into one of the league’s stingiest units, and his steady development of Sam Darnold and Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been one of the season’s biggest surprises. He’s now within striking distance of the top two — a testament to how quickly he’s made an impact in year two. Macdonald has flown up from +1600 to +280 in the last two weeks, showing how quickly this market can change.
Ben Johnson (+3000) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
While the odds are long, Ben Johnson deserves credit for keeping Chicago competitive in a loaded NFC. The Bears are 6-3 after comeback wins over the Giants and Bengals, and the offense has steadily improved behind a balanced attack. Still, Johnson faces an uphill climb. With Steichen, Vrabel, and Macdonald all leading playoff-bound teams, the Bears would likely need to win out — or at least claim the NFC North — for Johnson to become a serious contender again.
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