NFL MVP Odds: Matthew Stafford New NFL MVP Favorite After Rams Claim Control of NFC West
Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford are neck and neck atop the NFL regular season MVP race, but Stafford now maintains a slight lead after a Week 11 victory over the Seahawks. Which star QB will do enough to win this race down the stretch? Peter Alexis takes a look at the updated NFL MVP odds as we head to Week 12.
Peter Alexis - November 18, 2025, 1:15 PM EST
5 Minute ReadNFL MVP Odds: Matthew Stafford Breaks Tie with Drake Maye in MVP Race After Week 11
Another week, another leader in the NFL MVP race. After Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford were locked in a dead heat at +300 each, the market has spoken loud and clear: Stafford is the new frontrunner. His steady, veteran performance in a pivotal divisional win has pushed him ahead of the pack, while Maye’s quieter outing kept him close but not close enough to maintain the lead. With the Rams now controlling the NFC West and the Patriots still streaking, the top of the board remains dynamic, but Stafford holds the edge for now.
The rest of the leaderboard has shifted dramatically. Jonathan Taylor slid backward after a bye, Patrick Mahomes’ candidacy effectively collapsed as the Chiefs dropped another road game, and Josh Allen reinserted himself into the conversation with one of the most dominant individual performances of the entire season. The combination of team momentum, schedule difficulty, and explosive stat lines is reshaping the race every single week, and as we hit the back half of November, the window for movement is shrinking. Those who deliver statement games from here on out will separate themselves quickly.
With five serious candidates still on the board — Stafford, Maye, Allen, Taylor, and Mahomes — the MVP race is entering its most volatile stretch. Every contender has both a path to the trophy and a major obstacle standing in his way. Let’s break down the updated odds and where the momentum sits heading into Week 12.
Looking for advanced AI predictions and props to enhance your NFL betting? Try out oddschecker+ now on this limited time 7-day free trial!
2025 NFL MVP Odds
Click here for complete NFL MVP Odds
NFL MVP Odds Breakdown
Matthew Stafford (+150) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Stafford’s rise to the top of the MVP odds comes after a crucial divisional win over the Seahawks where he threw for two touchdowns and once again showcased complete command of the Rams offense. Narrative matters in MVP voting, and nothing is more valuable than consistently winning marquee games late in the season. Los Angeles now leads the NFC West, and if Stafford keeps stacking wins over playoff contenders, he will remain the favorite. His efficiency, leadership, and the Rams’ resurgence make him the most complete MVP profile at the moment.
Drake Maye (+190) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Maye drops into second despite the Patriots extending their win streak to eight in a row. His one-touchdown showing in a blowout over the Jets didn’t hurt his candidacy, but it didn’t elevate it either. The challenge for Maye is simple: New England’s streak has been impressive, but it has come against some of the league’s weakest opponents. As the Patriots face tougher defenses and higher-pressure situations down the stretch, Maye will have opportunities to reclaim the top spot. His production remains elite — he just needs a defining MVP moment.
Josh Allen (+475) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Allen has rocketed back into the race after a six-touchdown explosion against Tampa Bay. Three passing scores, three rushing scores, and a complete takeover performance have reminded everyone how dominant he can be when he’s locked in. Buffalo’s 5-5 record still limits his upside, but if Allen strings together a few more massive stat lines and the Bills climb back into playoff position, he will surge quickly. He’s back in the hunt — firmly — but the margin for error is gone.
Jonathan Taylor (+900) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Taylor slides from +500 to +900 after the Colts’ bye week, simply because others put up big numbers while he stood still. His case remains one of the most compelling non-quarterback profiles we’ve seen in a decade, but he’ll need more high-production games and Indy wins to stay relevant. The good news: the Colts lean heavily on him, and he’s proven capable of monster outings when the opportunity is there. He hasn’t fallen out of the race, but he needs momentum immediately.
Patrick Mahomes (+2000) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Mahomes suffered the biggest drop of the week. After another Chiefs loss, this time to the Broncos, Kansas City sits at 5-5 and looks nothing like a typical Mahomes-era contender. He has the talent to climb back into relevance, but being two games out of a top seed — and lacking signature MVP-caliber performances this year — has pushed him to longshot status. At +2000, he’s effectively out of the race unless the Chiefs reel off six straight wins and Mahomes catches fire. For now, his MVP hopes have all but evaporated.
More NFL Odds
Affiliate Disclosure.
We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.
