Drake Maye MVP Odds: Patriots Star Reclaims MVP Lead from Matthew Stafford After Crushing Giants on MNF
The NFL MVP race has flipped back again, with Drake Maye taking over for Matthew Stafford after thrashing the Giants on Monday Night Football. Can the Patriots youngster maintain the lead in the final weeks of the regular season? Let's take a look at the latest NFL MVP odds after Week 13.
Peter Alexis - December 2, 2025, 8:00 AM EST
5 Minute ReadNFL MVP Odds: Drake Maye Leads Race Amid Patriots 10-Game Win Streak, Monday Night Football Blowout
The NFL MVP race has officially swung back in the opposite direction. After Matthew Stafford surged into the lead last week, Drake Maye has now reclaimed the top spot thanks to another calm, consistent, and commanding performance on Monday Night Football. New England’s second-year star carved up the Giants in a 33-15 win, posting more than 280 passing yards and two touchdowns while never letting the game drift out of his control. It was Maye’s ninth straight game with elite-level production, and his ability to avoid bad outings has become his greatest advantage. The market reacted quickly, pushing him back to the top at -125.
Meanwhile, the field behind these two is virtually gone. The MVP race has narrowed into a pure head to head duel between Maye and Stafford as every other candidate has faded. Injuries, inconsistent performances, and shaky team results have cleared the board, leaving only two quarterbacks with realistic paths. With four weeks remaining, every drive, every throw, and every prime time spotlight moment will matter for both contenders.
Let’s break down where the top two stand after Week 13 and how the odds shifted so sharply.
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NFL MVP Odds Breakdown
Drake Maye (-125) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Drake Maye has reestablished himself as the most reliable quarterback in the NFL this season, and Week 13 reinforced that theme once again. His performance against the Giants was clinical. He surpassed 280 passing yards, tossed two touchdowns, and controlled the game from start to finish without ever giving New York a window. Even more impressive: every week looks almost identical. No wild swings, no meltdown games, no dramatic drop offs. Just steady excellence.
Maye’s surge back to favorite status comes not because he delivered a spectacular outlier performance, but because he never delivers the kind of mistake filled games that sink MVP campaigns in December. With New England surging and Maye avoiding turnovers for the fifth time in six weeks, the youngster has positioned himself as the one quarterback voters can trust down the stretch. Consistency rules this time of year, and right now, nobody is more consistent than Drake Maye.
Matthew Stafford (+130) Check out these best odds at Fanduel Sportsbook
Stafford’s slip in the odds is not catastrophic, but it is meaningful. After weeks of nearly flawless play, the Rams quarterback finally stumbled in Sunday’s shocking loss to the Panthers. Los Angeles entered as heavy road favorites, yet Stafford threw two interceptions, doubling his season total in one afternoon. He still added two touchdowns, but the timing and impact of the turnovers — especially with the Rams chasing from behind — knocked him out of the top spot.
Stafford remains absolutely alive in this race. At +130, he still controls his own destiny. If he bounces back and closes strong while the Rams re assert themselves as NFC contenders, he can climb back into the lead. But with the margin now razor thin, he cannot afford another multi turnover outing. Maye has set the consistency bar impossibly high, and Stafford must now match that bar every week if he wants to reclaim the award.
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