Bills Next Head Coach Odds: Klint Kubiak, Brian Daboll Early Favorites to Replace Sean McDermott
The Buffalo Bills blew it again in overtime on the road at the Denver Broncos on Saturday night, and moved quickly to fire head coach Sean McDermott on Sunday morning. Will the Bills try to bring back Brian Daboll, or go all in on the young offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak out of Seattle? Peter Alexis breaks down the Bills next head coach odds after the surprising move.
Peter Alexis - January 20, 2026, 3:00 AM EST
5 Minute ReadBills Next Head Coach Odds: Klint Kubiak, Brian Daboll Lead Odds Board to Replace Sean McDermott
The Buffalo Bills have entered a new era after firing Sean McDermott on Monday morning, ending a nine‑season run defined by consistency, competitiveness, and ultimately frustration. McDermott helped transform the franchise from an AFC afterthought into a perennial playoff team, but the postseason failures piled up. Saturday night’s overtime loss to the Broncos in the AFC Divisional Round became the final breaking point. Despite the Ravens, Chiefs, and Bengals all being out of the picture, the Bills were unable to get the Super Bowl monkey off their back. Ownership expected a deep push with this roster, and instead the Bills once again fell short in the biggest moments.
Josh Allen’s brilliance has kept Buffalo in the championship conversation for nearly a decade, but the offense has too often stalled in high‑leverage situations. The organization now believes the only path forward is pairing Allen with a young, innovative offensive mind capable of maximizing his rare physical gifts. With the AFC East tightening and the window still open, the Bills are treating this hire as one of the most important decisions in franchise history.
Early odds on Kalshi reflect a tight race among three candidates, each offering a different vision for the future. Klint Kubiak leads at 30%, Brian Daboll sits right behind him at 29%, and Joe Brady remains in the mix at 18%. All three bring offensive pedigree, but the Bills must decide which direction best unlocks Allen’s next evolution.
Bet on the Next Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills with Kalshi Here
Bills Next Head Coach Odds
Coach | Implied Probability |
|---|---|
Klint Kubiak | 30% |
Brian Daboll | 29% |
Joe Brady | 18% |
Davis Webb | 16% |
Mike McDaniel | 8% |
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Bills Next Head Coach Odds Breakdown
Klint Kubiak - 30% Chance Click here to bet on these Bills Next Coach Odds at Kalshi
Kubiak has surged to the top of the odds board thanks to his breakout season as the Seahawks’ offensive coordinator. Seattle is on the brink of a Super Bowl appearance, and Kubiak’s system built on motion, timing, and quarterback‑friendly reads has drawn praise across the league.
His work developing young quarterbacks and modernizing Seattle’s attack makes him an ideal stylistic match for Allen. The challenge for Buffalo is timing: at least three other teams are aggressively pursuing him, and the deeper Seattle goes into the playoffs, the longer the Bills may have to wait. If Buffalo wants Kubiak, they’ll need to move quickly.
Brian Daboll - 29% Chance Click here to bet on these Bills Next Coach Odds at Kalshi
Daboll’s return to Buffalo would be one of the most compelling storylines of the offseason. Despite being fired by the Giants, his reputation in Western New York remains sterling. He is widely credited with engineering Josh Allen’s leap from raw prospect to MVP‑caliber superstar, and his familiarity with the organization makes him a natural fit.
The question is whether the Bills believe his struggles in New York were roster‑related—or a sign that he may not be the long‑term answer as a head coach. Still, at 29%, Daboll is essentially neck‑and‑neck with Kubiak and represents the most seamless transition for Allen.
Joe Brady - 18% Chance Click here to bet on these Bills Next Coach Odds at Kalshi
Brady has done admirable work as Buffalo’s offensive coordinator since replacing Daboll, and he was a serious candidate for multiple head‑coaching jobs earlier this cycle. His creative passing concepts and rapport with Allen are real strengths.
However, uneven offensive performances this season have caused his odds to slip. Brady remains a viable option if the Bills prioritize continuity and internal familiarity, but he currently trails the two external candidates. His candidacy may hinge on whether Buffalo believes he can elevate the offense beyond what it has already shown.
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