Maxx Crosby Next Team Odds: Is Superstar Edge Rusher Stuck in Las Vegas Amid Injury Concerns, Failed Trade?
The Las Vegas Raiders will likely retain Maxx Crosby after failed trade talks and injury woes. Will anyone else take a chance on him before the 2026 season, or is he staying in Silver and Black? Peter Alexis gives an update on the Maxx Crosby next team odds from Kalshi as of May 7th.
Peter Alexis - May 7, 2026, 5:55 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadMaxx Crosby Next Team Odds: Sack Leader Likely Returning to Las Vegas in 2026
Maxx Crosby’s next-team market has shifted hard toward Las Vegas, with “stays with Raiders or retires” now trading at 75% on Kalshi after sitting closer to 58% a month ago. The move reflects a market that no longer expects a clean exit, especially after the reported Baltimore trade fell apart in March following a failed physical tied to Crosby’s knee.
Philadelphia sits far back at 4%, while Buffalo is at 2%, making the board look less like an open trade market and more like a holding pattern. Crosby has had tension with the franchise at times, but the combination of injury concerns, contract cost, and trade compensation appears to have left him stuck in Las Vegas unless another major news cycle changes the market.
Bet on Maxx Crosby's Next Team with Kalshi Here
Maxx Crosby Next Team Odds
Team | Implied Probability |
|---|---|
Stays with Las Vegas Raiders | 75% |
Philadelphia Eagles | 4% |
Buffalo Bills | 2% |
Maxx Crosby Next Team Odds Breakdown
Stays With Las Vegas — 75% Chance Bet on Maxx Crosby's Next Team with Kalshi Here
Crosby still has the résumé of a premium edge rusher, which is why the original trade interest made sense. He had 10 sacks, 73 tackles, two forced fumbles, six passes defensed, and his first career interception in 2025 while starting 15 games, continuing a run that has made him one of the Raiders’ most reliable defensive stars. Before that, he posted 14.5 sacks, 90 tackles, and 23 tackles for loss in 2023, then followed with 7.5 sacks and 17 tackles for loss in only 12 games during an injury-shortened 2024 season.
The issue is no longer talent. It is medical risk and price. Crosby was placed on injured reserve late in the 2025 season with a knee injury after missing practice time, then underwent January meniscus surgery. Baltimore was positioned as the major landing spot for a brief stretch in March, but the deal was reportedly rescinded after he failed the physical, and the Ravens pivoted to Trey Hendrickson instead. That sequence changed the market because it gave other teams a reason to hesitate before paying both a premium trade package and a massive contract-level commitment.
That leaves the Raiders in an awkward but increasingly likely position. Crosby may not be fully aligned with the direction of the franchise, but Las Vegas still controls his rights, still needs pass-rush credibility, and may not have a strong enough outside offer to justify moving him at a discount. For other teams, the calculation is more complicated. Crosby is still a difference-maker when healthy, but an unstable knee, recent missed time, and the failed physical make him a harder asset to price. That is why the market has moved toward the simplest outcome: no trade happens, and Crosby remains with the Raiders into 2026.
Other Suitors: Philadelphia Eagles (4%), Buffalo Bills (2%)
Philadelphia and Buffalo remain interesting names only because contenders always need pass rush. The Eagles at 4% and Bills at 2% would make sense as speculative fits if Crosby’s medical picture improves or if either team gets aggressive later in the offseason. But those prices show how unlikely the market sees either outcome right now. Both would need the Raiders to soften their stance, Crosby’s health to check out, and the financial and draft-pick math to line up.
Maxx Crosby Next Team Outlook & Prediction
- Lean: Stays with Las Vegas - 75% Chance Bet on the Maxx Crosby to Stay in Las Vegas with Kalshi Here
Vegas is the right prediction, but the value is not especially strong anymore at this price. The better trading angle may be patience. If another trade rumor, medical update, or training camp friction cycle knocks this market back down, the Raiders side could become more attractive again. At 75%, the market is already pricing in the most likely outcome: Crosby stays put because the failed Ravens deal made every other team more cautious.
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