2026 Super Bowl Odds: Niners, Bills Close Gap After Sluggish Start for Favored Rams
The Rams, Bills and 49ers are now separated by almost nothing at the top of the Super Bowl market, with all three sitting around the +700 to +800 range. Baltimore and Kansas City remain close behind, while Jacksonville continues to gain respect after a 4-1 start. Check out the latest Super Bowl LXI odds entering Week 6 of the 2026 NFL season.
Peter Alexis - October 13, 2026, 10:03 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadBrock Purdy, 49ers Biggest Riser in Super Bowl Odds After Hot Start, Drawing Even with Rams, Bills
There is no clear Super Bowl favorite through five weeks. Los Angeles still carries one of the shortest prices despite a 2-3 record, Buffalo moved closer to the top after beating the Rams in overtime and San Francisco has forced its way into the same range by starting 5-0.
The remaining schedules create another important layer. San Francisco, Seattle and Kansas City face three of the league's toughest roads from here, while Buffalo and Jacksonville have considerably friendlier paths. That could become increasingly important as teams fight for division titles, playoff seeding and eventually home-field advantage.
2026 Super Bowl Odds
Click here for complete Super Bowl Odds
Los Angeles Rams +720 Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
The Rams are only 2-3, but the market still views them as one of the NFL's most dangerous teams. Their losses have come against San Francisco, Denver and Buffalo, and Monday night's 37-34 overtime defeat to the Bills was another example of Los Angeles playing a contender essentially even despite continuing to leave wins on the field.
Matthew Stafford and the offense generated 454 yards against Buffalo, while Puka Nacua caught 17 passes for 138 yards and a touchdown. The concern is that special teams and late-game execution have now cost the Rams multiple opportunities.
Los Angeles has the eighth-hardest remaining schedule, although the immediate stretch gives it a chance to stabilize. Arizona appears twice on the remaining slate, and games against the Raiders, Chargers and Commanders provide several opportunities to stack wins before the schedule becomes more difficult again.
Buffalo Bills +750 Check out these best odds at bet365 Sportsbook
Buffalo improved to 4-1 with arguably its best win of the season, going into Los Angeles and beating the Rams 37-34 in overtime. Josh Allen delivered again in a high-leverage game, and the Bills have already beaten Houston, Detroit, the Chargers and Los Angeles through five weeks.
The schedule is one of the biggest positives for Buffalo. The Bills currently have roughly the eighth-easiest remaining slate, a major advantage compared with San Francisco, Kansas City and Seattle.
There are still heavyweight games ahead, but Buffalo also has enough favorable matchups to remain near the top of the AFC standings. That combination of Allen, a 4-1 start and a manageable road ahead makes the +750 range easy to understand.
San Francisco 49ers +750 Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
San Francisco has done more on the field than any of the other co-favorites. The 49ers are 5-0 after beating Seattle 32-29, adding another quality win to a résumé that already includes victories over the Rams and Broncos.
Brock Purdy has thrown 13 touchdowns against only two interceptions, while Christian McCaffrey and the offense continue to produce despite injuries. The defense has also taken a significant step forward from last season.
The biggest obstacle is the remaining schedule. San Francisco has the second-hardest slate in the NFL from this point forward, with Minnesota and Kansas City still ahead along with additional NFC West games. The unbeaten start has created some cushion, but the road to the NFC's No. 1 seed will not be easy.
Baltimore Ravens +800 Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Baltimore sits just behind the leading trio at +800 after reaching 4-1 with a 30-23 road win over Atlanta despite playing without Lamar Jackson. Winning with Tyler Huntley was important because it showed the Ravens can survive a short-term quarterback absence without completely derailing their season.
Jackson remains the central variable. Baltimore is dramatically more dangerous with him healthy, and preserving him for January matters far more than forcing an early return.
The Ravens have the 17th-hardest remaining schedule, placing them almost exactly in the middle of the league. Cleveland, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati still create divisional challenges, but Baltimore does not face the type of schedule gauntlet waiting for several other contenders.
Kansas City Chiefs +900 Check out these best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Kansas City remains undefeated at 4-0 after getting an early Week 5 bye. Patrick Mahomes has led the Chiefs past Denver, Indianapolis, Miami and Las Vegas, and the offense has looked much more explosive than the version that struggled throughout much of last season.
The next few weeks should reveal much more. Kansas City faces the Chargers, Seahawks and Broncos in succession, and the Chiefs currently own the third-hardest remaining schedule in football.
The back half also includes Buffalo, the Rams and Cincinnati. That difficulty makes the +900 price slightly longer than Buffalo or Baltimore despite the perfect record, but Kansas City remains one of the few teams that has repeatedly proven it can survive difficult playoff paths.
Seattle Seahawks +1100 Check out these best odds at bet365 Sportsbook
Seattle remains firmly in the contender conversation at 3-2, but the defending champions have shown more volatility than the teams above them. The Seahawks lost 32-29 to San Francisco after turnovers repeatedly gave the 49ers short fields, continuing a frustrating trend in Seattle's biggest losses.
The defense remains one of the NFL's strongest units, but offensive consistency and ball security have become legitimate concerns. Seattle has now lost two of its last three after beginning 2-0.
No contender faces a tougher remaining schedule. Seattle ranks No. 1 in remaining strength of schedule and still has games against several playoff-caliber teams, making the path to defending its title significantly more difficult than the +1100 price alone suggests.
Jacksonville Jaguars +1200 Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Jacksonville continues to force its way into the championship conversation. The Jaguars improved to 4-1 by beating Philadelphia 19-17 in London and now own wins over Cleveland, New England, Kansas City and the Eagles.
Trevor Lawrence has helped stabilize an offense that already showed significant upside last season, while Jacksonville's defense has quietly become one of the best units in football. The Jaguars have allowed only 14 points per game through five weeks.
Their schedule is also extremely favorable. Jacksonville owns the third-easiest remaining slate in the league, creating a realistic path to double-digit wins and potentially a high AFC playoff seed. That schedule advantage makes +1200 one of the more interesting prices among the current contenders.
Chicago Bears +1800 Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Chicago remains one of the most difficult teams to evaluate. The Bears are 3-2 after losing 31-7 at Green Bay, with the offense looking completely different without Caleb Williams after previously producing wins over Carolina, Philadelphia and the Jets.
Williams' expected return changes the outlook considerably. Chicago has already shown a much higher offensive ceiling with him available, but the defense also suffered multiple injuries against Green Bay.
The remaining schedule ranks around 12th-hardest in the NFL, so Chicago will have to earn its way into the playoff picture. Upcoming games against Atlanta, New England and Seattle should quickly determine whether the 3-1 stretch before the Packers loss was sustainable or simply an early-season surge.
More NFL Odds
Affiliate Disclosure.
We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.
