NFL Trade Deadline Odds: Will Brian Thomas Jr., Jonathan Taylor Get Traded on Tuesday?
The 2026 NFL trade deadline arrives Tuesday, November 10, with several prominent players generating significant interest as contenders search for reinforcements and struggling teams consider rebuilding. Can Jonathan Taylor and Brian Thomas Jr. find new homes before the deadline, and will the Colts continue dismantling their roster after already moving two major veterans? Check out the latest NFL trade deadline odds, rumors, and potential deals for Tuesday, November 10.
Peter Alexis - November 10, 2026, 12:25 PM EST
4 Minute ReadNFL Trade Deadline Odds: Which Players Will Be Traded on Tuesday?
The 2026 NFL trade deadline is scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, at 4 p.m. ET, with several high-profile players facing uncertain futures. Josh Downs leads the prediction market at 76%, followed by Riq Woolen at 69%, while Brian Thomas Jr. and Jonathan Taylor are both priced at 62% to be traded.
Indianapolis has emerged as one of the league's most active potential sellers after moving Quenton Nelson to Seattle and DeForest Buckner to San Francisco. Meanwhile, teams including Kansas City, Pittsburgh and San Francisco have explored receiving help, creating the possibility of several additional transactions before the deadline.
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NFL Trade Deadline Odds Breakdown
Josh Downs (Indianapolis Colts): 76% Chance Bet on the NFL Trade Deadline with Kalshi Here
Downs carries a 76% market-implied chance of being traded, making him the highest-priced player among the six featured candidates. The 25-year-old receiver requested a trade in late October, and Indianapolis has reportedly received an offer involving a fourth-round draft pick while seeking a third-round selection.
Downs leads the Colts with 330 receiving yards and is approaching the end of his rookie contract, making him an attractive target for teams looking to add a productive slot receiver. The Chiefs, Steelers and Commanders have been linked to his market, while Indianapolis' recent roster moves suggest the team is willing to exchange established players for future draft capital.
Riq Woolen (Philadelphia Eagles): 69% Chance Bet on the NFL Trade Deadline with Kalshi Here
Woolen is priced at 69%, gaining 11 percentage points as Philadelphia considers additional roster changes following a disappointing first half of the season. The former Seahawks cornerback signed a one-year contract with the Eagles during the offseason, but his inconsistent performance and the team's seven-game losing streak have fueled speculation about another move.
The 27-year-old remains an intriguing trade candidate because of his 6-foot-4 frame, exceptional athleticism and previous success in Seattle. With Philadelphia potentially looking to acquire future draft picks and Woolen approaching free agency, a deal would allow another team to add an experienced outside cornerback without a long-term commitment.
Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars): 62% Chance Bet on the NFL Trade Deadline with Kalshi Here
Thomas holds a 62% market-implied chance of being traded, climbing six percentage points as speculation surrounding his diminished role in Jacksonville continues. The former first-round pick has caught just 10 passes for 117 yards and two touchdowns this season, a dramatic decline from his 1,282-yard rookie campaign in 2024.
Thomas played only 19 offensive snaps without receiving a target in Jacksonville's Week 9 victory over Baltimore, highlighting his reduced involvement under Liam Coen. Kansas City, Pittsburgh and San Francisco have been connected to the receiver market, although Jacksonville's position as a playoff contender could complicate a deal involving a talented player still on his rookie contract.
Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts): 62% Chance Bet on the NFL Trade Deadline with Kalshi Here
Taylor is also priced at 62%, although his market-implied chance has declined 14 percentage points amid uncertainty surrounding Indianapolis' asking price. The three-time Pro Bowl running back has rushed for more than 600 yards and eight touchdowns this season, maintaining significant value despite the Colts' 2-7 record.
The Giants reportedly withdrew an offer involving second- and fifth-round draft picks after Indianapolis demanded a larger return, potentially requiring a package similar to the one San Francisco surrendered for Christian McCaffrey. Minnesota, Denver and Green Bay have also been connected to Taylor, but the Colts' willingness to retain him rather than accept a discounted offer remains a major obstacle.
Will McDonald IV (New York Jets): 32% Chance Bet on the NFL Trade Deadline with Kalshi Here
McDonald has climbed 19 percentage points to a 32% market-implied chance of being traded after requesting a move from the Jets amid frustration with his reduced playing time. The former first-round selection recorded 10.5 sacks in 2024 but has managed only three this season, with his role diminishing following changes to New York's defensive scheme.
However, Jets head coach Aaron Glenn has publicly indicated that McDonald will remain with the organization, creating a significant obstacle to an immediate trade. New York has already exercised his fifth-year option, guaranteeing approximately $13.8 million in 2027, meaning any potential deal would involve both draft compensation and a substantial future financial commitment.
Calvin Ridley (Tennessee Titans): 29% Chance Bet on the NFL Trade Deadline with Kalshi Here
Ridley is priced at 29%, falling 24 percentage points despite continued speculation that Tennessee could move the veteran receiver before Tuesday's deadline. The 31-year-old has recorded just six receptions for 91 yards in seven games, a sharp decline from his 1,017-yard campaign during his first season with the Titans in 2024.
Tennessee has reportedly entertained trade inquiries while maintaining that running back Tony Pollard is not available. Ridley's remaining contract and diminished production could limit his return to a late-round draft selection, although his previous success as a downfield receiver may still appeal to teams seeking inexpensive offensive depth.
NFL Trade Deadline Outlook: Will More Blockbuster Deals Happen?
Indianapolis remains central to the final day of trading, with Downs and Taylor both carrying market-implied chances above 60%. Their situations differ considerably, however, as Downs' expiring rookie contract makes a deal relatively straightforward while Taylor's significant contract and asking price create a more complicated negotiation.
Philadelphia and Jacksonville also face important decisions involving Woolen and Thomas, with both players offering potential value to teams seeking immediate reinforcements. McDonald and Ridley present different situations, as the Jets have expressed a desire to retain their pass rusher while Tennessee has shown greater willingness to discuss moving its veteran receiver.
The prediction market has generated more than $784,000 in reported trading volume, with several prices changing sharply during the final days before the deadline. The displayed percentages represent market-implied chances rather than confirmed transactions, while the contracts' settlement terms may extend beyond Tuesday's trading cutoff.
With the deadline arriving at 4 p.m. ET on November 10, teams have one final opportunity to acquire players for the remainder of the 2026 season. The biggest outstanding questions involve whether Indianapolis receives an acceptable offer for Taylor, whether Jacksonville moves Thomas and how aggressively contenders pursue the remaining available talent.
- Lean: Chiefs - 42% Chance Bet on the Josh Downs' Next Team with Kalshi Here
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