Lionel Messi Golden Boot Odds: Can Messi Continue Leading FIFA World Cup Top Goalscorer List on Monday vs. Austria?
Lionel Messi is back at the top of the World Cup Golden Boot race after scoring a hat trick in Argentina’s opening win over Algeria. Can he stay ahead of Kylian Mbappe and Erling Haaland on Monday, or will Austria slow down the defending champions? Here is a look at Messi’s Golden Boot odds and Argentina vs. Austria scoring props.
Peter Alexis - June 22, 2026, 10:30 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadWill Messi Add Another Hat Trick Against Austria on Monday, Extend Lead in Golden Boot Race?
Lionel Messi is tied with Kylian Mbappe at +350 to win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot, even though Messi enters Monday with one more goal. His hat trick against Algeria pushed him to three goals through one match, and Argentina now faces Austria on Monday, June 22, as a -190 moneyline favorite.
Messi is +300 to score first against Austria, +100 to score anytime, and +3000 to record another hat trick. That last number is a longshot for a reason, but it shows how much his opening match changed the market. A second multi-goal game would make him hard to chase before Argentina even reaches the knockout rounds.
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2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot Odds
Lionel Messi Golden Boot Odds - Top Goalscorer Breakdown
Messi Golden Boot Odds (+350) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook odds
The Algeria match was the reminder that Messi does not need 90 minutes of dominance to punish a defense. He finished chances, controlled the penalty-box moments, and gave Argentina the type of early tournament cushion that matters for both the team and this individual market. The hat trick also moved him into a different conversation because Golden Boot prices react quickly when a player already has three goals before Matchday 2.
Austria is a tougher matchup than Algeria. Ralf Rangnick’s team beat Jordan 2-1 in its opener and plays with the kind of pressure that can make Argentina work through midfield before Messi gets the ball in his preferred zones. That could lower the chance of another explosion, but it may also create transition gaps if Austria presses and loses structure.
Messi’s Golden Boot case still depends more on Argentina than on Monday’s props alone. A player can lead after one match and still lose the award if his team exits in the Round of 16 or quarterfinals. Argentina sits at +800 to win the World Cup and has the tournament pedigree to reach the semifinals again, which is why Messi’s +350 number is not just about the Algeria hat trick. It is also a bet on Argentina giving him six or seven matches to keep scoring.
Messi at +350 is short, but it is not empty hype. He already has three goals, he remains Argentina’s penalty and set-piece option, and a win over Austria would put the defending champions in position to manage the group from strength. The match prop with the most realistic betting tie-in is anytime scorer at +100, while the Golden Boot ticket still makes sense for anyone expecting Argentina to reach at least the semifinals.
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