Latest Kalshi Odds for the World Cup - Wednesday, June 24th Complete Match Odds
Wednesday’s World Cup slate brings six final group-stage matches across Groups A, B and C, with first place, knockout positioning and third-place survival all on the line. Kalshi’s latest World Cup odds still have France leading the outright market, while Brazil, Canada, Mexico and South Korea all play meaningful matches today.
Peter Alexis - June 24, 2026, 1:30 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadKalshi World Cup Odds for All 6 Matches on Wednesday, June 24th
The World Cup continues Wednesday, June 24, with six matches across Vancouver, Seattle, Miami, Mexico City and other group-stage venues. Groups A, B and C all reach their final matchday, making this one of the most important slates of the tournament so far.
The top of the outright market remains controlled by the major powers, but today’s matches can still shift the board. Brazil gets a chance to build momentum against Scotland, Canada can win Group B with a draw against Switzerland, and Mexico can finish off Group A while South Korea tries to lock down its own knockout path.
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Kalshi World Cup Winner Odds
Team | Implied Probability |
|---|---|
France | 20% |
Argentina | 14% |
Spain | 13% |
England | 10% |
Portgual | 9% |
Netherlands | 6% |
Germany | 5% |
Brazil | 5% |
USA | 4% |
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France remains the clear favorite on Kalshi after taking care of business in Group I, while Argentina’s rise has been driven by Lionel Messi’s scoring surge and another clean group-stage start. Spain is still priced as one of the best teams in the field despite its early stumble against Cape Verde, and England remains in the top four even after a frustrating scoreless draw with Ghana.
Brazil is the most important team on this list playing Wednesday. The market still has Brazil at just 5%, which is low for a team with that much attacking talent, but the price reflects a group stage that has not been fully convincing. A strong win over Scotland would not suddenly put Brazil back near France or Argentina, but it would help stabilize the narrative before the knockout rounds.
Kalshi World Cup Odds - Wednesday, June 24th Matches
Switzerland (40%) vs. Canada, 3 p.m. ET Bet on the World Cup with Kalshi Here
Switzerland and Canada meet at 3 p.m. ET with first place in Group B on the line. Kalshi gives Switzerland a 40% chance to win the match, Canada a 30% chance and the draw a 32% chance.
The individual match market favors Switzerland, but the group situation favors Canada. Both teams enter tied on points, and Canada owns the tiebreaker edge after scoring seven goals through two matches compared to Switzerland’s five. That means Canada can win Group B with a draw, while Switzerland needs all three points to steal the top spot.
That setup creates one of the best game-state stories of the day. Canada does not need to sit back completely, but it can play with more patience and make Switzerland chase the result as the match goes deeper. Switzerland has the structure and experience to win the game, but Canada’s goal-difference cushion gives it the cleaner path to the group.
Bosnia And Herzegovina (72%) vs. Qatar, 3 p.m. ET Bet on the World Cup with Kalshi Here
Bosnia and Herzegovina faces Qatar at 3 p.m. ET in the other Group B match. Kalshi prices Bosnia and Herzegovina at 72%, Qatar at 12% and the draw at 19%.
This is a survival match for both teams, though Bosnia has the much stronger market profile. A win would move Bosnia to four points and could put it in the mix for one of the best third-place spots, depending on how the rest of the day and later groups break. Qatar needs a much bigger result after taking only one point from its first two matches and getting hammered by Canada.
Bosnia is favored because it has shown more reliable quality and should have the better chance creation in a match where both teams need points. Qatar’s path is narrow, but the draw price at 19% shows there is still some concern that Bosnia may not fully separate if the match stays tense into the second half.
Scotland vs. Brazil (76%), 6 p.m. ET Bet on the World Cup with Kalshi Here
Scotland and Brazil meet at 6 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami in one of the headline matches of the day. Kalshi gives Brazil a 76% chance to win, Scotland a 9% chance and the draw an 18% chance.
Brazil enters as the heavy favorite, but the stakes are still real. The draw with Morocco made the group more complicated, and the win over Haiti helped but did not completely erase concerns about Brazil’s form. A victory here would secure progression and likely keep Brazil in position to chase first place in Group C, depending on Morocco’s result against Haiti.
Scotland has already shown it can compete in the group, but this is a major step up in attacking pressure. Brazil has Vinicius Jr., Neymar, Endrick, Matheus Cunha and more options than most teams in the tournament, even if the attack has not fully clicked. Scotland’s best path is to keep the match low-scoring and make Brazil sweat, but Kalshi clearly expects the favorite to get through.
Morocco (84%) vs. Haiti, 6 p.m. ET Bet on the World Cup with Kalshi Here
Morocco faces Haiti at 6 p.m. ET in the other Group C match. Kalshi prices Morocco at 84%, Haiti at 6% and the draw at 13%.
This match is crucial because Morocco can still push for first place in the group, especially if Brazil does not beat Scotland comfortably. Morocco has already taken points off Brazil and beaten Scotland, so a win over Haiti would give it seven points and force Brazil to match or better the result on goal difference.
Haiti enters as a major underdog and is close to the end of its tournament run. Morocco’s unbeaten form, defensive structure and tournament experience make this one of the most one-sided prices on the board. The question is not just whether Morocco wins, but whether it can win by enough to pressure Brazil for the top spot.
South Africa vs. South Korea (61%), 9 p.m. ET Bet on the World Cup with Kalshi Here
South Africa faces Korea Republic at 9 p.m. ET in Group A. Kalshi gives Korea Republic a 61% chance to win, South Africa a 16% chance and the draw a 25% chance.
Korea Republic is in a strong position to advance with a result, but this is not a meaningless match. A win would likely secure second place behind Mexico, while a draw may still be enough depending on Czechia’s result against Mexico. South Korea already beat Czechia in its opener, which remains a major tiebreaking and confidence point.
South Africa needs the more aggressive approach. After losing to Mexico and drawing Czechia, it likely needs a win to keep any realistic knockout hopes alive. That makes Korea’s 61% price interesting because South Africa may have to open up as the match goes on, creating chances for Korea to punish space in transition.
Czechia vs. Mexico (53%), 9 p.m. ET Bet on the World Cup with Kalshi Here
Czechia and Mexico close Group A at 9 p.m. ET, with Mexico trying to finish off a perfect group stage. Kalshi prices Mexico at 53%, Czechia at 25% and the draw at 24%.
Mexico has already beaten South Africa and Korea Republic, putting the co-host in position to win the group. A draw should be enough to finish first, but Mexico will still want to keep momentum going in front of a home crowd and avoid turning the final matchday into a tense knockout-style test.
Czechia is the desperate side. With only one point through two matches, it needs a win and help elsewhere to stay alive. The market respects Czechia enough to price the upset at 25%, but Mexico has the cleaner form, stronger position and home-field energy. If Mexico scores first, the match could open quickly because Czechia cannot afford to settle for a draw.
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