
2026 FIFA World Cup Draw Odds: Group of Death Predictions, Will Ronaldo Play, and Halftime Show Favorites
2026 FIFA World Cup draw odds: Who will be the first team drawn, which group becomes the Group of Death, and will Ronaldo play? Plus, will Drake or the Weekend be the halftime show headliner? See full odds and markets.
Christian Drake - December 5, 2025, 10:00 AM EST
4 Minute Read2026 FIFA World Cup Draw Odds: Group of Death Predictions, Will Ronaldo Play, and Halftime Show Favorites
The highly anticipated draw for the 2026 FIFA World Cup takes place Friday at 11 a.m. Central in Washington, D.C. The 48-nation field will be divided into 12 groups of four, setting the stage for the biggest tournament in history. Saturday’s broadcast will reveal the group-stage matchups and venues, with coverage on Fox, Telemundo, and FIFA’s digital platforms.
Teams have been seeded into four pots based on FIFA rankings, with Pot 1 featuring the three host nations, United States, Mexico, and Canada, alongside global heavyweights like Spain, Argentina, France, England, and Brazil. Each group will include one team from each pot, ensuring a balanced but unpredictable draw.
Pot Breakdown
- Pot 1: U.S., Mexico, Canada, Spain, Argentina, France, England, Brazil, Portugal, Netherlands, Belgium, Germany
- Pot 2: Croatia, Morocco, Colombia, Uruguay, Switzerland, Japan, Senegal, Iran, South Korea, Ecuador, Austria, Australia
- Pot 3: Norway, Panama, Egypt, Algeria, Scotland, Paraguay, Tunisia, Ivory Coast, Uzbekistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa
- Pot 4: Jordan, Cabo Verde, Ghana, Curacao, Haiti, New Zealand, plus six playoff placeholders (including Italy and Denmark still fighting for spots)
Bet on the 2026 World Cup Draw with Kalshi Here
Odds Markets Heating Up
Fans and bettors alike are buzzing, and with the draw quickly approaching we have some fascinating markets:
Which Country Will Be the First Team Drawn?
- Germany: +650
- Spain: +650
- Argentina: +650
- Brazil: +650
- France: +650
- Netherlands: +650
- England: +700
- Belgium: +700
- Portugal: +700
Who Will Be the Group of Death?
- Group G: +550
- Group E: +650
- Group F: +700
- Group C: +750
- Group K: +750
- Group H: +750
- Group J: +750
- Group L: +800
- Group I: +800
- Group D: +2200
- Group A: +3300
- Group B: +8000
Will Cristiano Ronaldo Play in the World Cup?
- Yes: 90¢ (91% chance)
- No: 18¢
Who Will Headline the 2026 World Cup Final Halftime Show?
According to the latest odds:
- The Weeknd: -125
- Drake: +380
- Beyoncé: +800
- Coldplay: +1100
- Shakira: +1100
- Pitbull: +1400
- Bad Bunny: +1500
- Diplo: +1500
- Ed Sheeran: +1900
- Lady Gaga: +2200
- Calvin Harris: +2200
- Peso Pluma: +2200
- Kendrick Lamar: +2200
- Bruno Mars: +3100
- Justin Bieber: +3100
- Red Hot Chili Peppers: +3400
- Dolly Parton: +3400
- ACDC: +3400
- Bon Jovi: +3700
- Metallica: +4000
- Feid: +4000
- Carrie Underwood: +4000
- Harry Styles: +4000
- Taylor Swift: +8000
The Weeknd is the clear favorite, but the list includes global superstars across genres, making this one of the most fun markets to watch.
What will Trump say during the World Cup Draw?
- Soccer – 91%
- Canada – 84%
- 250 – 78%
- Mexico – 77%
- Ticket – 76%
- Olympics – 70%
- Hottest – 67%
- Economy – 53%
- Nobel – 50%
- Ronaldo – 43%
- Biden – 43%
- Election – 42%
- Tourist/Tourism – 35%
- Hat-trick – 31%
What will Gianni Infantino say during the World Cup Draw?
- “Peace”: 78% chance
- “Trump”: 77%
- “History”: 41%
- “Soccer”: 37%
- “Globe/Global”: 29%
- “Economy”: 28%
- “Investment”: 26%
- “Messi”: 21%
- “Ronaldo”: 10%
Bet on the 2026 World Cup Draw with Kalshi Here
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