Happy Gilmore 2 Odds: How Will Adam Sandler's Sequel Score on Rotten Tomatoes Ahead of Friday Netflix Release?
Happy Gilmore 2 will be released on Netflix on Friday, July 25th in the US, almost 30 years after the original blockbuster. How will critics receive Adam Sandler's sequel? Peter Alexis analyzes the Kalshi prediction markets for Happy Gilmore 2 and the latest odds for the Rotten Tomatoes score.
Peter Alexis - July 24, 2025, 4:15 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadHappy Gilmore 2 Odds: How Will Adam Sandler's Sequel Score on Rotten Tomatoes Ahead of Friday Netflix Release?
It's been a bit of a dry summer for blockbuster movies, with Mission Impossible, Superman, Sinners, and the F1 movie carrying the load as the few feature films. But for fans of old school comedy, Adam Sandler is giving a reprieve with his Happy Gilmore 2 release.
It comes almost 30 years after the original classic Happy Gilmore in 1996, which continued on the cult-like following of the 1980's Caddyshack franchise with hilarious moments and lines that have been quoted in popular culture for decades.
Sandler will try to revive the raunch golf comedy genre with the sequel, but how will critics receive it. The original movie scored a 63% on Rotten Tomatoes, while the audience enjoyment score was up at 85%. These type of movies tend to cater more to the fans than the critics, and we should see a similar gap in these scores, albeit on a lower scale.
Prediction markets like Kalshi didn't exist back in 1996, but it's flourishing today as users look to wager on the results of everyday events. Yes, you can bet on how high Happy Gilmore 2 scores on the Rotten Tomatoes meter, and they are expecting a less than 50/100 in early betting.
Bet on Happy Gilmore 2 Rotten Tomatoes Score with Kalshi Here
Latest Happy Gilmore 2 Odds From Kalshi
Over 40 Rotten Tomatoes Score: 60% Chance
Happy Gilmore 2 scoring over 40/100 on the Tomatometer has a 60% chance. This has fallen from 70% in the last week or so, with some early critics potentially knocking the film down a peg. The official forecast on Kalshi is expecting a 43.8 score, down from the max of 49.5 in June.
If you wanted to bet on Over 40 score, it would be equivalent to taking -150 on the moneyline. While sequels typically score much lower, Sandler should still be able to carry this movie to a decent score on star power alone.
Over 45 Rotten Tomatoes Score: 47% Chance
To take it a step further, the Over 45 score is the closest to even odds, sitting at a 47% chance, or about +113 odds in a sportsbook scenario. If the forecast is expecting a score of 43.8, it's going to be a close call with how the critics score this.
You can also bet on Over 50 at 32%, suggesting +213 odds. That makes it highly likely for the movie to fall in between 40 or 50 on the meter. With the original movie scoring at 63% on the Tomatometer despite an 85% audience enjoyment score, you can expect another gap between the critics and the fans of this raunchy comedy.
Will Happy Gilmore 2 Be the Top US Netflix Movie this Week?
On top of the Rotten Tomatoes score, there is a second Happy Gilmore 2 market on Kalshi. You can also bet on if it will be the highest scoring movie on Netflix this week. Though compared to the first market, this one isn't much of a contest.
Happy Gilmore 2 is currently trading at 97% on Kalshi to be the highest scoring of the week on Netflix, with thing's like Madea's Destination Wedding and Ride Along 2 all getting less than 1%. The original Happy Gilmore was also on the list at around 1%, in case fans wanted to get a refresher of the 1996 hit before the new premiere.
This movie is a massive release for Netflix and will likely be consumed accordingly. There aren't many movies debuting directly on Netflix this year, and most of them are in-house created, making this ensemble cast blockbuster a much more coveted launch.
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