GTA 6 Release Date Odds: Will Grand Theft Auto 6 Be Released Before June 2026?
Grand Theft Auto 6 has been nearly eight years in the making, but will it ever hit the market? Rockstar Games is expecting a late May release in 2026, but if you think it will be delayed, Kalshi is the place to bet on the true release of the most anticipated video game of all time.
Peter Alexis - July 31, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadGTA 6 Odds: Will Grand Theft Auto 6 Be Released Before June 2026?
Video game fans have been waiting for the better part of a decade for the release of the most complete video game in console history. Grand Theft Auto 6 is finally expected to release on May 26, 2026, but will it actually happen?
When looking for the probability of real life events occurring, we can now see the likelihood on Kalshi, the open trading prediction marketplace. We're seeing a massive jump in the Kalshi odds for the Grand Theft Auto 6 release between February 2026 (7%) and "Before June 2026" at 75%.
But the whole reason this market exists is due to the unreliable nature of Rockstar Games and their poor track record. This game was supposed to come out several times over the last few years, starting in 2023. We're now in the back half of 2025, and the promised release date of this past spring has come and gone, with the announcement that the game should arrive before next summer.
Will the most anticipated video game of all time finally come out before June 2026? Let's take a look at the Kalshi odds and see what the top traders think about this Grant Theft Auto 6 release.
Bet on the GTA 6 Release Date with Kalshi Here
Latest GTA 6 Release Date Odds From Kalshi
GTA 6 Released Before June 2026 - 75% Chance
GTA 6 is now heavily favored to be released before June 2026 on Kalshi, but we've seen this movie before. With an anticipated release of May 26, 2026, all it takes is one hiccup to push this past the date, and sending the heavy money on "Before June" crashing down.
Rockstar games has promised the release of GTA 6 for the better part of a decade, but it has not yet come to fruition.
GTA 6 Released Before February 2026 - 7% Chance
Grand Theft Auto 6 getting released before February looks very unlikely right now, with only a 7% chance. After eight-ish years of waiting and continued delays, they have no reason to surprise release the game three months before it's due.
The developers need to ensure a strong release with no bugs, or they will get walloped on social media and in the public square. They'll probably take all the time they can get with this one.
GTA 6 Released Before 2027 - 88% Chance
If this game doesn't come out before 2027, they might as well not release it at all. This is as close to a lock as you can get, because Rockstar Games can't afford to wait much longer. While it could get pushed slightly past the May date by a month or so, there's no way they wait six more months after that. It should come out by the summer, they've strung fans along enough already.
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