Dancing with the Stars Odds: Robert Irwin Favored, Alix Earle Eyes Upset in DWTS Season 34 Finale
The Dancing with the Stars Season 34 finale will air tonight, Tuesday, November 25th, with the last five contestants battling for the trophy. After three dance routines and fan voting, who will take home the top prize? Robert Irwin is the current favorite, but Alix Earle is continuing to close the gap. Peter Alexis breaks down the Dancing with the Stars finale odds from Kalshi.
Peter Alexis - November 25, 2025, 12:30 PM EST
4 Minute ReadDancing with the Stars Odds: Alix Earle Draws Closer to Robert Irwin in DWTS Season 34 Finale Upset Bid
The Season 34 finale of Dancing with the Stars arrives Tuesday night, November 25th, and for the first time in show history the finalists will perform three full routines in the championship round. With half of the result coming from judges scores and half from the all important fan vote, this finale sets up as one of the most unpredictable and tension filled endings the series has ever produced. Five celebrities remain, each paired with elite professional partners, and all of them have taken remarkably different roads to reach the last dance floor of the season.
Alix Earle, Jordan Chiles, Robert Irwin, Dylan Efron, and Elaine Hendrix now step into the spotlight for one final push. Irwin has surged to heavy favorite status, Earle carries unmatched social media power, and the remaining three hold narrow but meaningful paths if the voting breaks in their favor. Let’s break down the updated odds and where each finalist stands heading into the November 25 showdown.
Bet on the Dancing with the Stars Finale with Kalshi Here
Latest Dancing with the Stars Finale Odds From Kalshi
Robert Irwin - 70% Chance
Robert Irwin has become the clear front runner as the finale approaches, soaring from 52% last week to 74% now. Fans love the Irwin family legacy, with Robert’s poised, wholesome demeanor and consistently strong routines alongside partner Witney Carson making him the sentimental and statistical favorite. His sister Bindi already won DWTS years ago, and the momentum behind Robert feels eerily similar. Unproblematic, widely beloved, and peaking at the perfect time, he enters Tuesday night with a commanding likelihood of victory.
*As of Tuesday, November 25th (finale day) - Irwin has dipped a bit down to 70%, with Alix Earle starting. to close the gap. She has climbed up to 32%, and the fan voting will be her biggest chance with the cult-like following of young women.
Alix Earle - 32% Chance
If anyone can pull the upset, it is Alix Earle and her unmatched digital army. With more than 16 million followers across Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube, Earle’s fanbase is the most obsessive and mobilized in the competition, and that matters more than ever in a finale that relies partially on public voting. Her “get ready with me” content launched a social media empire, and her popularity alone gives her a real chance to shock Irwin. At 25 percent, this is significant value for a contender with massive voting power.
Dylan Efron - 2% Chance
Dylan Efron has carved out a positive reputation this season, boosted by viewers who know him as Zac Efron’s brother and from his own television and production work. He and Daniella Karagach have performed well, but he simply does not command the same fan fervor as Irwin or Earle. At 2 percent, his path requires both a breakout night in scoring and a surprising surge in fan votes.
Jordan Chiles - 1% Chance
Jordan Chiles brings Olympic level athleticism to the dance floor and has delivered technical excellence throughout the competition. She narrowly escaped elimination in the most recent round, showing both her vulnerability and her perseverance. Chiles and Ezra Sosa are a polished pair, but without a massive fan base behind her, the math makes her a long shot at 1 percent unless the judges deliver multiple perfect scores.
Elaine Hendrix - 1% Chance
Elaine Hendrix has been one of the most entertaining storylines of the season, with the 54-year-old "Parent Trap" star embracing every routine with energy and humor. Reaching the finale is an achievement itself for Elaine and partner Alan Bersten, but the voting dynamics leave her as the largest long shot in the field. A great performance will win the audience’s hearts, but the trophy is likely out of reach at just 1 percent.
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