Survivor 49 Odds: Savannah Dominating Odds Board, Rizo "Rizz God" Retains Immunity Idol Again Ahead of Episode 11
Survivor 49 Episode 11 odds breakdown: Savannah dominates the odds board, while Riz God and Sophie look to shake up the game. See full odds, player breakdowns, and what to expect down the stretch.
Christian Drake - December 3, 2025, 2:30 PM EST
4 Minute ReadSurvivor 49 Odds: Savannah Dominating Odds Board, Rizo "Rizz God" Retains Immunity Idol Ahead of Episode 11
The Survivor 49 finale is set for Wednesday, December 17, and host Jeff Probst promises a three-hour showdown packed with “pent-up emotion and desperation.” But we have two episode left before this mega event.
In Episode 10, Jawan was blindsided in a jaw-dropping Tribal Council that featured Savannah's classic antics and Rizo playing a fake idol, the game has officially shifted into high gear.
Savannah and her allies still hold two advantages, one of which remains completely secret, and the jury is watching every move. Episode 11 promises even more fireworks as desperation kicks in and players fight for a spot in the finale. With only days left, who will outwit, outplay, and outlast to claim the million-dollar prize?
According to the latest odds from Kalshi, Savannah is the overwhelming favorite, but Rizo, Sage, and both Sophie variants still have paths to victory. Maybe Steven or Kristina could even make a miracle push.
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Latest Survivor 49 Odds From Kalshi
Savannah's antics have definitely heated up with Survivor 49’s late-game surge. Her position amongst a powerful alliance and Rizo's continued push with his idol in his pocket have led to this dramatic gap in odds. However, this race doesn't feel like it is quite over yet and Savannah has showed a pension for emotional outbursts (a la diving at MC's feet).
As Jeff Probst teased, the finale will feature a “lively, interactive interrogation” from the jury, and that means the game isn’t over yet. Here’s how the odds stack up heading into Episode 11:
Latest Survivor 49 Finale Odds From Kalshi
Contestant | American Odds |
Savannah | -335 |
Rizo | +669 |
Sophie | +1150 |
Sage | +1329 |
Sophi | +1329 |
Steven | +1900 |
Kristina | +3233 |
- Savannah – 77% Chance
Savannah seems to be running the show, and she definitely believes that it is her sitting alone at the top. She’s leaning into the villain arc with confidence. She’s got the extra vote in her pocket, a loyal alliance, and a pension to sniff out any cracks before they break wide open. But here’s the thing: Savannah’s game thrives on chaos, and chaos cuts both ways. If the jury decides her emotional blow-ups outweigh her strategic brilliance, she could go from queen to casualty in one bad vote.
- Rizo – 13% Chance
The “Rizz God” nickname started as a joke, but after that fake idol stunt? He’s earning it. Rizo is playing with flair, and the jury loves a showman. He’s got a real idol tucked away, and everyone knows he’s dangerous, but that’s the problem. If Savannah ever feels threatened, or if the minority alliance gets bold, Rizo could be the next big target. For now, though, he’s sitting pretty, laughing in confessionals, and plotting his next mic-drop moment.
- Sophie – 8% Chance
Sophie is the swing vote queen, and she knows it. She’s been under Savannah’s wing for most of the game, but the closer we get to the end, the more tempting it is to flip the script. Sophie’s confessionals scream “I’ll burn bridges for a million dollars,” and honestly? Respect. She’s got options, and if she plays them right, she could turn this into her story instead of Savannah’s.
- Sophi – 7% Chance
Sophi has been the quiet storm all season. She’s got the Knowledge Is Power advantage, but holding power and using power are two very different things. If she doesn’t make a splash soon, the jury might see her as Savannah’s sidekick instead of a real contender.
- Sage – 7% Chance
Sage is the wildcard. She’s smart, scrappy, and not afraid to get her hands dirty, but her game has been messy lately. She’s juggling secrets, leaking info, and trying to rally troops against Savannah, which sounds great until you realize half those troops are her allies. Sage needs a clean, bold move to stay alive, and if she doesn’t pull it off soon, she’s toast.
- Steven – 5% Chance
Steven is strategic, he’s ambitious, and he’s got ideas, but every time he tries to make a move, someone blows it up. Now he’s stuck at the bottom with Kristina, hoping her idol can save him. If he survives the next vote, he needs to go full throttle, because right now, he’s looking like a jury seat warmer.
- Kristina – 3% Chance
Kristina’s story is heartbreaking and heroic all at once. She’s been burned by broken bonds, she’s carrying the weight of her late mother’s legacy, and she’s fighting through tears and exhaustion to stay in the game. Her idol is her lifeline, but with Savannah sniffing out every advantage, it might not be enough. If Kristina can weaponize her vulnerability and flip the game, she’ll have the best underdog story of the season.
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