Next James Bond Odds: Callum Turner Rises Rapidly to Odds-On Favorite as New Bond Casting Rumors Accelerate
The search for the next James Bond has intensified following reports of final screen tests, with British actor Callum Turner emerging as the leading candidate to replace Daniel Craig in the iconic 007 franchise. Can Turner secure the role after receiving praise from former Bond star Pierce Brosnan, or will Jack Lowden or Josh O'Connor emerge from the closely watched casting process? Check out the latest next James Bond odds, casting rumors, and prediction-market outlook for Thursday, November 5.
Peter Alexis - November 5, 2026, 2:33 PM EST
4 Minute ReadNext James Bond Odds: Callum Turner Emerges as Favorite Following Casting Rumors
The competition to become the next James Bond has experienced a dramatic prediction-market shakeup, with Callum Turner climbing to 58% on Kalshi following reports of final screen tests for the upcoming film. Jack Lowden sits second at 27%, while Josh O'Connor has fallen to 12%, leaving three British actors at the center of speculation surrounding the franchise's next leading man.
The latest movement follows reports that Turner, Lowden and O'Connor were among a select group invited to audition for director Denis Villeneuve's upcoming Bond film. Turner has also received public praise from former 007 actor Pierce Brosnan, adding to the speculation surrounding a casting decision that could arrive before the end of 2026.
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Next James Bond Odds
Next James Bond Odds: Who will take over for Daniel Craig?
Callum Turner: 58% Chance Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Turner holds a 58% market-implied chance of becoming the next James Bond, establishing a substantial advantage after climbing from approximately 20% during the summer. His price surged above 70% during the opening days of November before retreating 16 percentage points in the latest trading period, illustrating how quickly speculation surrounding the final casting process can affect the market.
The 36-year-old British actor has built a prominent film and television career through performances in Masters of the Air, The Boys in the Boat and the Fantastic Beasts franchise. His combination of dramatic experience, physical presence and relatively young age has made him a recurring contender to succeed Craig, who concluded his five-film run with No Time to Die in 2021.
Turner's position received another boost after Brosnan praised his acting ability and expressed enthusiasm about seeing who would inherit the role. The two previously worked together in The Only Living Boy in New York, although Brosnan's comments do not constitute confirmation of a casting decision. Reports of Turner's involvement in the final auditions have further fueled speculation, but the studio has not publicly identified its next Bond.
Jack Lowden: 27% Chance Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Lowden has climbed to a 27% market-implied chance of playing Bond, gaining 14 percentage points during the latest trading period. The Scottish actor briefly surged above 60% in late October as reports of final screen tests intensified, before Turner reclaimed the higher market price and Lowden experienced significant volatility.
The 36-year-old is best known for portraying River Cartwright in the Apple TV+ espionage series Slow Horses, alongside appearances in Dunkirk and Mary Queen of Scots. His experience in spy thrillers has made him a prominent subject of Bond speculation, particularly as the franchise prepares for a new creative direction under Villeneuve.
Lowden's candidacy also attracted attention after Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman appeared to suggest that he was among the actors being considered. Subsequent reports placed Lowden in the final round of auditions, although neither the actor nor the studio has confirmed that he has secured the role.
Josh O'Connor: 12% Chance Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
O'Connor is priced at a 12% market-implied chance of becoming James Bond, declining four percentage points amid the latest movement toward Turner and Lowden. His odds have fluctuated considerably throughout the casting process, including a brief surge during late 2025, but he has generally remained behind the two leading candidates during recent trading.
The 36-year-old British actor has earned widespread recognition for portraying Prince Charles in The Crown and starring in Challengers, alongside acclaimed performances in independent films. His acting range and experience in character-driven productions provide a different background from the more traditional action-oriented performances often associated with Bond.
O'Connor reportedly joined Turner and Lowden among the actors offered final screen tests, keeping him involved in the competition despite the decline in his market pricing. However, little has been publicly established about the studio's evaluation of individual auditions, leaving uncertainty about how the three candidates compare behind the scenes.
When Will the Next James Bond Actor Be Announced?
Amazon MGM Studios has not announced an official date for revealing Daniel Craig's successor, although recent casting developments have raised expectations of a decision before the end of 2026. Final screen tests reportedly began in late October, with Turner, Lowden and O'Connor among the candidates under consideration alongside at least one unidentified actor.
The upcoming film will be directed by Denis Villeneuve, whose previous work includes Dune, Blade Runner 2049 and Sicario. Steven Knight, the creator of Peaky Blinders, is writing the screenplay, while producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman are overseeing the next installment of the franchise.
The casting process also represents a significant transition following Amazon's acquisition of creative control over the Bond franchise in 2025. The next actor will become the first new Bond since Craig made his debut in Casino Royale in 2006, making the selection one of the most closely watched decisions in the film industry.
Next James Bond Casting Outlook: Will Callum Turner Land the Role?
Turner's rise to 58% has transformed a previously competitive casting market into one with a substantial gap between the three leading candidates. However, his recent 16-point decline and Lowden's corresponding increase demonstrate that traders remain responsive to new rumors and developments surrounding the auditions.
The market has generated more than $3.3 million in reported trading volume, reflecting considerable interest in the identity of the next 007. Those percentages represent market-implied chances rather than confirmed casting information, and no official announcement has established that any of the reported finalists has been selected.
With final auditions reportedly completed and the franchise preparing for a new era under Villeneuve, the next major development could be an official casting announcement. Turner currently holds the highest market price, but Lowden's renewed momentum and the continued presence of O'Connor leave the identity of the next James Bond unresolved.
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