Donald Trump VP Odds: Kristi Noem The Favorite to be GOP Vice Presidential Candidate
The Republican Primary heads to the first test in the Iowa caucuses next week. With Donald Trump maintaining a massive lead in the polls, speculation is growing about who his running mate will be. Will Trump tap current governor Krisi Noem, or poach another candidate in Nikki Haley later in the race? Let's take a look at the latest odds for Donald Trump's VP.
Peter Alexis - January 11, 2024, 12:15 PM EST
5 minDonald Trump VP Odds: Kristi Noem The Favorite to be GOP Vice Presidential Candidate
The 2024 election is heating up as the Iowa caucuses approach on January 15. This will be the first test for the republican primary candidates, as Trump still holds a massive lead over the field.
The latest polls have Trump at over 52% support of Iowa Republicans, and a 30% gap over the closest competitors in Nikki Haley and Ron Desantis. With such a large lead, the focus turns to who he will tap to join him in his campaign as the next Vice President against Joe Biden to try and find success in the rematch.
Trump was at a Fox News town hall on Wednesday night in Iowa, and stated that he already knows who his running mate will be for 2024. While it may be a done deal in his head, the public is still left to speculate on who will join him on the ballot as he fights for the nomination and his third bid for President.
Will Trump select South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, or take former cabinet member and current opposition Nikki Haley to join him if she drops out of the race during the primary? While the rest of the field sorts itself out, all eyes are on Trump as he makes one of the biggest decisions of his campaign in the coming months. Let's take a look at the latest Donald Trump VP odds as the primary battle rages on.
Donald Trump VP Odds
Running Mate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Kristi Noem | +410 | 19.6% |
Elise Stefanik | +700 | 12.5% |
Vivek Ramaswamy | +740 | 11.9% |
Nikki Haley | +1200 | 7.7% |
Kristi Noem Odds (+410) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Kristi Noem has been the predominant favorite in recent lead ups to the first voting stage. The Governor of South Dakota was elected to her position in 2019, and has her sights set on the Oval Office in 2024.
Noem hasn't been shy about her support for Donald Trump, posting vocally on social media platforms like X and Instagram. She brought Trump on stage in South Dakota and endorsed him, and later joined him in Iowa to continue campaigning for the former president. Noem is also leading a media blitz where she regularly appears on Fox News to advocate for Trump's resurgence. She currently holds +410 odds to be Trump's VP, giving her a nearly 20% chance to become the next Vice President.
Trump has valued loyalty throughout his nearly decade in politics, and certainly gives preferential treatment to his steadfast defenders. Noem has not wavered in her support, and has campaigned for Trump in the early going, while attacking his opponents on television when given the opportunity. If things continue to trend well for Trump, keep an eye on Noem as the ideal candidate for the 45th President to revitalize his image with women voters.
Elise Stefanik Odds (+700) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Another major candidate is Elise Stefanik, a congresswoman from New York. She was first elected in 2014 at the age of 30, and is now the fourth-ranking Republican in the House.
Stefanik has been dominating the news cycle for her role in the congressional hearings about antisemitism on campus, where she questioned the presidents of Harvard, Penn, and MIT. She prompted them into some now viral quotes that have led to two of the three resigning from their positions.
Stefanik has been a staunch defender of Trump throughout her rise in the political ranks, and has also been advocating for herself as the running mate for Trump in recent media appearances. She may be a bit young for Trump to select at this point in his political career, but keep an eye on Stefanik as she continues to gain popularity and experience in the House. She has +700 odds
Nikki Haley Odds (+1200) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Nikki Haley has seen a meteoric rise in the Republican primary race over the last couple months. She has performed strongly on the debate stage
Haley supported Trump during his initial campaign and time in office, but has since distanced herself from him. After all, they are opponents now, and she is looking to challenge his top spot in the polls. The important part of this dynamic is how far she will go in her attacks against him, because if Trump remains the favorite and secures the nomination, she would still want to be considered for his potential running mate or cabinet.
Trump has been known to be a spiteful politician, and may not let her back into his ranks if the divide goes too far. She previously served as his Ambassador to the United Nations during his first two years in office, and they had an amicable parting at the end, a rarity in a Trump administration full of chaos.
