Trump VP Odds: Elise Stefanik's Odds to be Vice President Shortening
The Republican Primary heads to New Hampshire for its second stop With Donald Trump maintaining a massive lead in the polls, speculation is growing about who his running mate will be. South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem leads the pack, but Elise Stefanik is rapidly closing the gap. Let's take a look at the latest odds for Donald Trump's VP.
Peter Alexis - January 22, 2024, 11:45 AM EST
5 minTrump VP Odds: Elise Stefanik's Odds to be Vice President Shortening
The 2024 election is heating up as the New Hampshire primaries approach on January 23. Second-leading Republican contender Ron DeSantis dropped out of the race, and Donald Trump still holds a massive lead over the field.
The latest polls have Trump at over 52% support of New Hampshire Republicans, and an 18% gap over the closest competitor in Nikki Haley. With such a large lead, the focus turns to who he will tap to join him in his campaign as the next Vice President against Joe Biden to try and find success in the rematch.
Trump already stated that he knows who his Vice President will be as the race continues to widen. While it may be a done deal in his head, the public is still left to speculate on who will join him on the ballot as he fights for the nomination and his third bid for President.
Will Trump select South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, or can rising star Elise Stefanik overtake her as the odds narrow? While the rest of the field sorts itself out, all eyes are on Trump as he makes one of the biggest decisions of his campaign in the coming months. Let's take a look at the latest Donald Trump VP odds as the primary battle continues.
Donald Trump VP Odds
Running Mate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Kristi Noem | +480 | 17.2% |
Elise Stefanik | +550 | 15.4% |
Vivek Ramaswamy | +720 | 12.2% |
Nikki Haley | +1200 | 7.7% |
Kristi Noem Odds (+480) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Kristi Noem has been the predominant favorite in recent lead ups to the first voting stage. The Governor of South Dakota was elected to her position in 2019, and has her sights set on the Oval Office in 2024.
Noem hasn't been shy about her support for Donald Trump, posting vocally on social media and joining him on stage in both South Dakota and Iowa on the campaign trail. Noem is also leading a media blitz where she regularly appears on Fox News to advocate for Trump's resurgence. She currently holds +480 odds to be Trump's VP, giving her a nearly 20% chance to become the next Vice President, but has fallen from the peak of +410 odds two weeks ago.
Trump has valued loyalty throughout his nearly decade in politics, and certainly gives preferential treatment to his steadfast defenders. Noem has not wavered in her support, and would be a crucial piece to his campaign as he looks to revitalize his image with women voters.
Elise Stefanik Odds (+550) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Elise Stefanik is surging up the odds board after shortening the gap between her and Kristi Noem. The South Dakota Governor may still lead Stefanik, but in a wide open race for the VP position, it is anyone's game with these long odds.
The New York Congresswoman recently appeared alongside Donald Trump as he campaigned in New Hampshire over the weekend. She has been outspoken in her support of the former president, and is aiding him on the trail as he looks to return to the highest office.
Stefanik has been dominating the news cycle for her role in the congressional hearings about antisemitism on campus, where she questioned the presidents of Harvard, Penn, and MIT. She prompted them into some now viral quotes that have led to two of the three resigning from their positions. Stefanik was at just over +700 odds just two weeks ago, but has slowly climbed towards the leader as the campaign continues.
Nikki Haley Odds (+1200) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Nikki Haley has seen a meteoric rise in the Republican primary race over the last couple months. She has performed strongly on the debate stage, and recently rose to the second-leading candidate after Ron DeSantis dropped out.
Haley supported Trump during his initial campaign and time in office, but has since distanced herself from him. After all, they are opponents now, and she is looking to challenge his top spot in the polls. The important part of this dynamic is how far she will go in her attacks against him, because if Trump remains the favorite and secures the nomination, she would still want to be considered for his potential running mate or cabinet.
Trump has been known to be a spiteful politician, and it is unlikely that he may bring her into his ranks after this campaign cycle. However, she previously served as his UN Ambassador during his first two years in office, and they had an amicable parting at the end, a rarity in the Trump administration.
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