Australian Open Odds: Day 3 Betting Features Zverev and Nadal

Australian Open Odds: Day 3 Betting Features Zverev and Nadal

The Australian Open moves into the second round, and with it comes a full day’s action of top-notch tennis matchups. Alexander Zverev, who is chasing his maiden slam, and Rafael Nadal, who is gunning for his 21st slam, are in action today, along with a slew of other standouts and dark horses. Below, we preview several second-round matches and serve up tennis picks. 

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Sebastian Korda vs Corentin Moutet

Korda vs Moutet odds

American Sebastian Korda got his 2022 Australian Open campaign off to a flying start, despite coming into the event short on match play. Korda dispatched British Cameron Norrie in straight sets, 6-3, 6-0, 6-4. He converted on five of ten break points and served at 70% first serves. His second serve points were an impressive 68%.

Corentin Moutet defeated compatriot Lucas Pouille in four sets, coming from a set down to 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-3. He was serving at 71% first serves and converted on six of ten break points. His second-serve points were at a modest 58%.

Moutet is a tricky player to play and a lefty, and that could spell some trouble for Korda as he looks to book his place in the third round. This is the first meeting of the young guns, and while Korda is the favorite, this match could extend to four or, even, five sets. Betting on Korda to win in moneyline is a reasonable -275 bet, but there is better value in a four-set or five-set win.

• Pick: Korda to win in four sets at +275 (Bet $100 to win $275)

Carlos Alcaraz vs Dusan Lajovic

Alcaraz vs Lajovic odds

Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz will take on Serbia’s Dusan Lajovic in the second round, a match that is firmly cornered with the former on the tennis betting board. Great things are expected of the 18-year-old Alcaraz, who impressed pundits the world over after reaching the quarterfinals of the 2021 US Open. However, he can’t take Lajovic for granted.

Lajovic is a 31-year-old veteran and journeyman player who has had good results in the past and isn’t beyond pulling off an upset in the early rounds. Case-and-point: he eked out a five-set win over favorite Hungarian Marton Fucsovics in the first round. Lajovic will be up for this clash, and while he expended a lot of energy to reach the second round, this isn’t his first rodeo. This should be an interesting and close match.

Alcaraz is priced at -800 to win, while Lajovic is tipped at +500 for the upset. A straight-set win is for Alcaraz is a tempting -120 bet, while a 3-1 win is going for +260 at bet365. Alternatively, tennis prop bets such as betting on the match result and both players to win a set offers good value. Alcaraz to win and both players to win a set is priced at +150. 

• Pick: Alcaraz to win in four sets +260 (Bet $100 to win $260)

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Yannick Hanfmann vs Rafael Nadal

Hanfmann vs Nadal odds

Rafael Nadal’s quest for a 21st grand slam title continues as the Spaniard reaches the second round of the Australian Open. Nadal dismissed Marcos Giron in straight, easy sets 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 in the first round. Next up is Yannick Hanfmann, who upset home favorite Thanasi Kokkinakis in the first round. Kokkinakis had little left in the tank after winning his maiden title a few days ago, succumbing easily to the German 6-2, 6-3, 6-2.

This is the second meeting between Nadal and Hanfmann, but first on a hard court. They previously faced each other at the 2019 Roland Garros -- a match Nadal won 6-2, 6-1, 6-3. Hanfmann got a good win over Kokkinakis in the first round, but to upset Nadal will take something otherworldly. Don’t see it happening. Nadal to win is the bet here, but with tennis odds upwards of -3300 in moneyline markets, set betting is where the value is to be had.

• Pick: Nadal in three sets -275 (Bet $275 to win $100)

Alexander Zverev vs John Millman

Zverev vs Millman odds

Alexander Zverev wasn’t flawless, but he got the job done in his opener, winning 7-6 (3), 6-1, 7-6(1) over compatriot Daniel Altmaier. 

Zverev only converted on 4 of 18 break points and won just 53% of his second serve points. He will need to be much sharper against John Millman, who will have the crowd behind him. Millman edged veteran Feliciano Lopez 6-1, 6-3, 4-6, 7-5 to reach the second round. 

Zverev has the 2-0 edge lifetime over Millman, but the Aussie took him to five sets in the first round of the 2019 French Open. He also took a set off Zverev at the 2020 Cologne 2 tournament. There’s a lot of pressure on Zverev, who emerges as one of the top favorites in the wake of Djokovic’s deportation. A matchup against an Aussie will be a great test of Zverev’s nerve and confidence.

• Pick: Zverev in four sets +275 (Bet $100 to win $275)