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Australian Open Odds Day 10: Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Iga Swiatek Highlight

Previewing day ten of the men's and women's Australian Open. Nikki Adams shares the odds and her picks for some of the best matches of the day.
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Australian Open Odds Day 10: Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Iga Swiatek Highlight

The Australian Open quarterfinals wrap up today, with the bottom half of the draw taking to the court in the men’s and women’s games. Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas highlight the men’s quarterfinals while Danielle Collins and Iga Swiatek feature in the women’s quarterfinals. Join us as we preview their respective matchups and serve up tennis picks. 

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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Jannik Sinner

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Stefanos Tsitsipas takes on up-and-coming Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. Tsitsipas survived a five-set marathon over Taylor Fritz, storming back from 1-2 down to win the last two sets and advance, 4-6, 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, 6-3. In winning, Tsitsipas makes a second straight semi-final appearance Down Under. Last year, he beat Rafael Nadal to clinch a spot in the last four but lost to Daniil Medvedev. 

Jannik Sinner is the new kid on the block, reaching his first-ever grand slam semi-finals after beating Australian hopeful Alex de Minaur, 7-6 (3), 6-3, 6-4. Sinner is the youngest of the quartet still standing in the men’s field and the player with the least experience at this level, although he doesn’t appear to be overwhelmed by the occasion. Well, at least not yet. 

Sinner reaches the semis without facing a Top 30 player. In Tsitsipas, he meets his first legitimate challenger and a player that has reached a grand slam final before. And yet, despite his lack of experience, bookmakers are cornering this match in his camp ever so slightly. Sinner is the -150 favorite to win, while Tsitsipas is the +120 underdog. Tsitsipas has the 2-1 head-to-head edge over Sinner, but all three matches were played on clay. 

Daniil Medvedev vs Felix Auger Aliassime

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Daniil Medvedev looks to reach his second straight grand slam semi-final and second Australian Open semis in as many years when he takes on Canada’s rising star, Felix Auger Aliassime. 

Medvedev reaches the last eight, having dropped just two sets along the way. For the most part, he’s been efficient and dominant throughout the tournament. But Maxime Cressy proved to be a bigger challenge to overcome in the R16, as Medvedev advanced in four tight sets, 6-2, 7-6(4), 6-7(4), 7-5.

Felix Auger Aliassime reached the quarterfinals of the Australian Open for the first time in his career. Overall, it’s his third quarterfinals in a grand slam after reaching the Wimbledon quarters and the US Open semis last season. Aliassime has made significant strides in his game in the past year, especially since teaming up with Uncle Toni – Rafael Nadal’s uncle and former head coach. 

The Canadian’s course through the tournament wasn’t straightforward. He’s had to battle in all but one round. He opened his campaign with a five-set win over Finland’s Emil Ruusuvuori and then needed four sets to dispatch Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (R64) and Marin Cilic (R16). Only Daniel Evens folded in straight sets in the R32. 

Aliiassime has never beaten Medvedev, and as recently as a fortnight ago, he lost to the Russian 6-4, 6-0. Aliassime will have to be much sharper to win a set, never mind getting past the Russian. 

Danielle Collins vs Alize Cornet

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Danielle Collins is enjoying a Cinderella run at the Australian Open as she reaches the quarterfinals. Few would have predicted the American to emerge out of her section when the draw was first published, but that’s the way the draws shake out sometimes. Much of the same can be said about Alize Cornet’s run. Cornet, at the age of 32, reaches her first-ever quarterfinals at the Australian Open. The last time Cornet came close to whiffing at the quarters Down Under was in 2009, exactly thirteen years ago.

Collins beat Elise Mertens in three sets in the R16 to book her spot opposite Alize Cornet. Collins’ last two matches were three-setters. In both, she lost the first set and was made to work for the win. The toll might be catching up to her.

Cornet upset Simona Halep in a three-set marathon in the R16 to make her first quarters in Melbourne. Arguably, Cornet was dealt a tough course through the tournament, but she’s risen to the challenge admirably. Before upsetting Halep, she took out Garbine Muguruza in straight sets in the second round.

This is the first meeting between Collins and Cornet. Bookmakers fancy Collins at -275 to win this match, but that price seems a bit too steep and doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. Cornet at +220 is the lean here. 

Iga Swiatek vs. Kaia Kanepi

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Estonia’s Kaia Kanepi overcame Aryna Sabalenka to book her spot in the quarterfinals. Kanepi barely registered on anyone’s radar as a potential quarterfinalist at the start of the tournament, but the 35-year-old is playing some of her best tennis. 

Kanepi’s ranking dropped in the last couple of years for several reasons. So, at face value, it’s easy to understand why the oddsmakers would stack the odds against her in this next match against Iga Swiatek. Swiatek is not only one of the game’s rising stars, but she’s already a grand slam champion, having won the 2020 French Open. 

Swiatek arrives into the quarterfinals playing almost flawless tennis. She’s dropped one set through four matches, and in her first three matches, she conceded no more than five games per match. Thus, Swiatek is the prohibitive favorite to defeat Kanepi in their first-ever meeting and advance into the quarterfinals. 

That said, Kanepi is a tempting underdog to bet here. Her big serve, power game, and experience appear to have served her well thus far. They could do so again. 

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Nikki Adams is a freelance sports writer that’s honed in on the world of sports betting. She joined OddsChecker in 2021 after having covered a number of major American sports, including NFL and NCAAF, for several other publications in the industry. When she’s not looking for the best betting angles and writing engaging and insightful articles, she’s likely on a tennis court or binging on reality TV.


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