2026 French Open Women's Odds: Marta Kostyuk New Favorite After Aryna Sabalenka Shocking Upset
The 2026 Women's French Open market has been reset with heavy favorite Aryna Sabalenka getting stunned by Diana Shnaider on Wednesday morning at Roland Garros. Marta Kostyuk becomes the new favorite amid her 17-match win streak, can she win two more? Let's take a look at the Women's French Open odds after Sabalenka's loss ahead of the semifinal.
Peter Alexis - June 3, 2026, 10:40 AM EDT
4 Minute Read2026 French Open Women's Odds: Can Marta Kostyuk Continue 17-Game Win Streak to Roland Garros Title After Sabalenka Goes Down?
The women’s French Open futures market has been blown wide open after Aryna Sabalenka’s shocking quarterfinal collapse against Diana Shnaider. Sabalenka led by a set and was one game from the semifinals, but Shnaider won the final 10 games of the match to pull off a stunning 3-6, 7-5, 6-0 upset and remove the final top-tier favorite from the draw.
Marta Kostyuk is now the new favorite at +150, followed by Mirra Andreeva at +200, Shnaider at +300, and Maja Chwalinska at +900. With Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, and Sabalenka all gone, Roland Garros is guaranteed to crown a new champion from a completely unexpected final four.
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2026 Women's French Open Winner Odds
2026 Women's French Open Winner Odds
Marta Kostyuk (+150) Check out these Best French Open Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Kostyuk is the rightful favorite because she has been the most dominant player left in the field. She has carried a long clay winning streak through Paris, extending it to 15 matches by reaching the fourth round and then continuing that surge into the semifinals. Her quarterfinal win over Elina Svitolina was another major step, as Kostyuk handled the emotional all-Ukrainian matchup 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 to become the first Ukrainian woman to reach a French Open semifinal.
The question is whether the favorite role becomes heavy. Kostyuk has gone from red-hot challenger to tournament frontrunner almost overnight, and the market now expects her to finish the job. She is a -136 favorite over Mirra Andreeva in Thursday’s semifinal, and if she keeps controlling rallies with the same aggression and clay-court confidence, she has the best title case. But this is still new territory, and the pressure of being the player everyone is now chasing is the only real concern.
Mirra Andreeva (+200) Check out these Best French Open Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Andreeva is the most dangerous direct challenger to Kostyuk because her quarterfinal performance was clinical. She crushed Sorana Cirstea 6-0, 6-3 to reach her second Grand Slam semifinal, showing the kind of maturity and precision that has made her one of the fastest-rising players in the sport.
Her semifinal against Kostyuk is the real title test. Andreeva has the defensive balance, shot tolerance, and tactical patience to make Kostyuk play extra balls, which is exactly how to test a player riding a streak. At +200, she is close enough to the favorite to be treated as a true co-threat, and if Kostyuk feels the pressure, Andreeva is the player most likely to expose it.
Diana Shnaider (+300) Check out these Best French Open Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Shnaider’s title case changed completely with the Sabalenka upset. She was down a set and double break, then flipped the match in brutal fashion, winning the final 10 games and overwhelming the world No. 1 in the third set. That is the kind of win that can launch a title run, especially when it comes against the most powerful player left in the draw.
The concern is the turnaround. Shnaider gets only one day of rest before facing Maja Chwalinska, and emotional wins over world No. 1 players can be difficult to back up immediately. Still, she is a -183 favorite in that semifinal for a reason. Her lefty forehand, power, and confidence make her the clear favorite to reach the final from the bottom half, but she must avoid the classic letdown after the biggest win of her career.
Maja Chwalinska (+900) Check out these Best French Open Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Chwalinska is the longshot left standing, but her run has already become one of the best stories of the tournament. The Polish qualifier has battled all the way into the semifinals, turning what looked like a wide-open section into a career-changing opportunity. Her price at +900 reflects the gap in power and profile between her and the other three contenders, but she is still only two wins from the title.
Her semifinal against Shnaider is about survival and pressure. Chwalinska is not expected to win, which can help her play freely, while Shnaider has to process the Sabalenka upset and come back quickly as a heavy favorite. If Chwalinska can extend rallies, keep the score tight, and force Shnaider to feel the weight of expectation, she has a path to make this more uncomfortable than the odds suggest.
Women’s French Open Betting Outlook
Kostyuk deserves the favorite tag because of her clay streak, confidence, and clean path through big-name opponents. Andreeva is the biggest threat because she has the maturity and consistency to turn the semifinal into a grind, while Shnaider has the most explosive momentum after stunning Sabalenka.
The value depends on how much weight goes into pressure. Kostyuk is playing the best tennis of her life, but +150 is no longer a discount. Shnaider at +300 may offer the cleaner path if she avoids a letdown against Chwalinska, but Kostyuk remains the player to beat until someone finally stops the streak.
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