INSIGHT

The World Cup Golden Boot race is locked in a three-way tie entering Argentina’s Round of 16 match against Egypt. Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland all have seven goals, while Harry Kane remains within striking distance after scoring again for England.

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LeBron James’ next team odds have shifted again, with Cleveland now an odds-on Kalshi favorite as speculation builds around one final homecoming. The Warriors’ early surge has faded, Miami remains alive, and the market has now traded more than $70 million as James waits for the free-agent picture to settle.

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Naomi Osaka is the new favorite to win Women’s Wimbledon after knocking out Aryna Sabalenka, while Coco Gauff has already punched her ticket to the semifinals. With Karolina Muchova and Marta Kostyuk still alive in the draw, the women’s tournament is set up for a first-time Wimbledon champion.

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Folarin Balogun’s status for USA vs. Belgium has become one of the most dramatic Kalshi markets of the World Cup knockout rounds. After his red-card suspension was unexpectedly lifted Sunday, the market swung from almost no chance of him starting to near certainty, though Belgium’s late appeal keeps one final twist on the board.

Rafael Leão’s next club odds are heating up as Portugal prepares for a World Cup knockout match against Spain. Tottenham is now the market favorite, but Saudi interest, AC Milan’s stance and Manchester United’s outside pursuit keep this transfer market wide open.

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