Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Looking for MLB Home run bets for Sunday, August 27th? Jason Radowitz shares his plus-money MLB player props for tonight. Profit with these MLB picks today.
Jason Radowitz - August 27, 2023, 10:20 AM EDT
3 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
We hit three straight home run props, dating back to Wednesday's slate. Ryan Mountcastle came through on Friday for a +340 hit. Let's see if we can continue that momentum into today's slate of games!
August 27 Best MLB Home Run Props
Marcus Semien to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Marcus Semien has slugged a .264 ISO and wOBA of .393 against his last 82 righties. He's also struck out 19.5% of the time while hitting 35.7% of fly balls and line drives against righties in those 30 days. He'll face Bailey Ober of the Twins, who has allowed a .333 ISO and wOBA of .435 to his last 59 righties. Ober has been much worse against righties despite being a right-handed pitcher. This season, 233 righties have slugged a .244 ISO and wOBA of .335. That's a massive sample size, and a lot of extra-base hits allowed to righties. Let's take a chance on Semien to deliver at the top of the order for the Rangers today.
Lourdes Gurriel to Hit a Home Run (+630) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
There's way too much value here. Lourdes Gurriel has slugged a .283 ISO and wOBA of .416 against his last 64 righties. He'll face Graham Ashcraft, who has allowed a .245 ISO and wOBA of .346 to his previous 60 righties.
Ashcraft, like Ober, has been worse against righties despite being a right-handed pitcher. Let's take advantage. Gurriel has struck out under 22% of the time in the last 30 days against righties. He's also hit under 30% of grounders while hitting nearly 49% of hard contact. I'll take my chances with Gurriel here.
Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+300) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Julio Rodriguez has been sensational in the second half for the Mariners. He's hit a .214 ISO and wOBA of .412 against his last 90 righties while only striking out 20% of the time.
Today, Rodriguez faces a right-hander who has struggled against righties like Ober and Ashcraft. That pitcher will be Alec Marsh, who has allowed a .318 ISO and wOBA of .402 to his last 52 righties. He's faced 101 righties this year and has given up a .322 ISO and wOBA of .401. Rodriguez is in a prime spot to launch another long ball.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Marcus Semien to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
- Lourdes Gurriel to Hit a Home Run (+630) (Bet $100 to collect $730) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
- Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+300) (Bet $100 to collect $400) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
