NRFI Bet of the Day: Our Expert Has Identified This Can't-Miss Bet on Opening Day
The Mets are in Miami, taking on the Marlins to kick off their MLB 2023 season. Read on to discover what this Opening Day bet is.
NRFIalgorithm - March 30, 2023, 9:54 AM EDT
5 minNRFI Bet of the Day: Our Expert Has Identified This Can't-Miss Bet on Opening Day
It's Opening Day, and the algorithm has identified the best NRFI it has seen in over a year. Let's get into my NRFI bet of the day for the Marlins versus Mets Opening Day game.
Marlins vs. Mets Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
- Game Time: 4:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings, SNY, Bally Florida
Click here for Marlins vs. Mets odds
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction
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Sandy Alcantara will start for the Marlins against the Mets lineup. Alcantara had an impressive 26-6 (81%) NRFI record in 2023 and was particularly successful at home with a 12-4 (75%) record. Against the Mets, Alcantara has held Nimmo and Alonso to a combined 9-59 (.152 batting average) and struck them out 14 times.
We will now analyze the correlation between the Mets lineup and scoreless 1st innings. In 2022, the Mets were scoreless in 67% of their 1st innings and had even greater difficulty on the road with a scoreless rate of 77%. In home games, Alcantara had a 1.64 ERA, and the Mets struggled in first-inning road games, setting up a perfect opportunity for a three-out start.
Max Scherzer will pitch for the Mets in the bottom of the first against the weakest first-inning offense of 2022. Scherzer had an impressive 18-5 (78%) NRFI record in 2022 and a solid 10-3 record while traveling. In his first 25.0 innings last season, Scherzer held a 1.80 ERA and is poised for a strong start against a weak offense.
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When analyzing the Marlins' offense, they ranked last in first-inning runs per game, hits per game, and runs per game in 2022. To improve your confidence, they had a 61-19 (76%) home NRFI record and an overall record of 132-19 (89%) in the same year. These statistics, combined with Scherzer's pitching skills, make a scoreless first inning extremely likely here.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Pick
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