Oddschecker+
Positive EV Bets
Odds format
United States
Canada
OH
United States
Canada
Philadelphia Phillies Bailey Falter

NRFI Bet of the Day: Check Out Our Expert's Pick for Thursday's Must-Have NFRI Bet

Handicapper @NRFIalgorithm shares his must-have NRFI bet for Thursday's slate. You don't want to miss out on this banger of a pick.

NRFI Bet of the Day: Check Out Our Expert's Pick for Thursday's Must-Have NFRI Bet

To commence, Nick Lodolo, an impressive young pitcher, is set to take the mound against the struggling Phillies lineup that has been unable to score in the first inning throughout the current season. Lodolo's track record speaks for itself, with a remarkable 16-5 (76%) record to the No Run First Inning (NRFI) over the course of two years, accompanied by a career ERA of 3.43. Notably, the Phillies' big three hitters - Turner, Schwarber, and Castellonas - have struggled immensely against Lodolo, managing only a combined 1-15 (.067 BA), which bodes well for Lodolo's success in this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies' offensive woes against Lodolo persist, with their current season NRFI record standing at a dismal 10-2 and an even worse 5-1 NRFI record on the road, both of which rank among the lowest in the league. 

As Lodolo takes the mound against the Phillies, Bailey Falter will follow suit in the bottom of the first inning as he takes on the Cincinnati Reds. Falter has proven to be accurate on the mound, boasting an impressive 67% NRFI rate through 18 starts dating back to last season and an outstanding 9-1 record while pitching on the road.

For all your NRFI needs, follow @NRFIalgorithm on Twitter now!

Falter's previous encounter with the Reds earlier this season was a success, as he pitched 5.0 innings, allowing only one run and four baserunners. Therefore, it is reasonable to expect Falter to continue his success as he faces the Reds in this matchup.

Although the Reds have been performing well in the first inning, they have lost six of their last seven games but obtaining three outs against them will not be an easy feat. However, there are favorable factors that work in our favor, including Falter's favorable matchups, the Reds playing their seventh straight game in seven days, and Falter's impressive 90% NRFI away record.

As always, trust the numbers when looking for a scoreless first inning.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

NRFI Prop Pick Today: No Run First Inning (-105) Bet $100 to collect $195 Caesars has the best odds; click here to bet

Reds vs. Phillies Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, April 13, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

MLB Odds

onboarding-background

Join the oddschecker Community

Bet with Intelligence

Sign-up for an oddschecker account to get expert picks, ai-driven betting tools and best odds across sportsbooks.