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Detroit Tigers Matthew Boyd

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction: Should You Fade Matthew Boyd?

The Detroit Tigers are in St. Louis, taking on the Cardinals for the start of a three-game series. Josh Gayle breaks down this game and whether or not you should fade Matthew Boyd.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction: Should You Fade Matthew Boyd?

I'm fading my favorite team once again. Let's get into my pick, prediction, and odds for this MLB matchup.

Cardinals vs. Tigers Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

1u - Matt Boyd o4.5 Hits Allowed -155 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

I know this juice is steep, but this bet shouldn’t even be available. I had this marked at 5.5 all night last night, and I’m shocked we got it for a hit less. As we always say, we only drink the juice if we lose. Let's just choose to win this one.

Matt Boyd has allowed 5+ hits in four straight games. In his most recent game against the Baltimore Orioles, I had the pleasure of watching him allow eight hits in person. Much like Baltimore, St. Louis crushes lefties. While Baltimore hits .272 against lefties and got eight hits off of Boyd, St Louis hits .280 and should definitely be in line to hit 5+ off of him.

Teams like the Milwaukee Brewers and Cleveland Guardians have gotten 5+ hits off of Boyd while both failing to hit .230 against lefties. St. Louis is four of six on hitting this number against lefties this year. The two misses were Clayton Kershaw and Patrick Sandoval, who are both superior pitchers to Boyd. Give me the team hitting .280 against lefties against the guy who has allowed this in four straight games; feels like a no-brainer. Let's roll!

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